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Betting tips › Categoria Primera A ›  Boyacá Chicó FC v Atlético Junior

 Categoria Primera AWed 28 Oct 01:05 UTCLa Independencia

Boyacá Chicó FC v Atlético Junior tips

CHIBoyacá Chicó FCWLLWW
VS
JUNAtlético JuniorWWLDD
The model callAtlético JuniorMatch result1.91★★★★2 stars

Junior are heading to Tunja with solid momentum and decent odds to get the job back done against a streaky Chico side. We expect the visitors to control the pitch and edge this tight contest.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$38.2
Profit$18.2
Why it might land
  • Atletico Junior arrive with two wins and two draws from their last five matches which shows steady momentum in league play.
  • Boyaca Chico just lost two matches in a recent three game span to expose real defensive flaws at home.
  • The bookmakers offer a fair 1.91 price on the away win which gives us enough value to back the stronger squad.
Why it might not
  • Boyaca Chico bounced back with two straight victories in their newest results to prove they can still pull off a surprise.
  • Atletico Junior recorded two draws in their most recent outings which highlights a tendency to stall on the road.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreNoPrice varies by book

Chico have dropped matches without scoring recently which suggests a clean sheet for the visitors remains very possible.

Total goalsUnder 2.5 goalsPrice 1.63

The low goals line is priced at 1.63 because neither side shows a consistent habit of blowing teams away in recent weeks.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Atlético Junior the side to beat here at 48%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Atlético Junior, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Junior are heading to Tunja with solid momentum and decent odds to get the job back done against a streaky Chico side. We expect the visitors to control the pitch and edge this tight contest.

Form and momentum

Boyacá Chicó FC come in patchy, winning 38% of 8 on record. 3 of their 5 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

Atlético Junior come in poor, winning 29% of 7 on record. 1 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 2 wins in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 24% for CHI, 29% for the draw and 48% for JUN once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Atlético Junior, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.91, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Boyaca Chico bounced back with two straight victories in their newest results to prove they can still pull off a surprise.
  • Atletico Junior recorded two draws in their most recent outings which highlights a tendency to stall on the road.
The bottom line

We back Atlético Junior for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsJUN -110
CHI3.85draw3.15JUN1.91

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

CHIBoyacá Chicó FC8 games on record
Won3
Drawn2
Lost3
  • Scored10and let in9
  • At home3 winsfrom5
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLLWW
JUNAtlético Junior7 games on record
Won2
Drawn3
Lost2
  • Scored13and let in11
  • On the road1 winsfrom3
  • Right now2 wins in a row
Last fiveWWLDD

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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