Log in
MyBookie
Skybook

Betting tips › Categoria Primera A ›  Boyacá Chicó FC v Alianza FC

 Categoria Primera AWed 16 Sept 00:30 UTCLa IndependenciaFinished

Boyacá Chicó FC v Alianza FC tips

CHIBoyacá Chicó FCWWDDL
1 : 2
AFCAlianza FCWLLLD
The model callBoyacá Chicó FCMatch result2.30★★★★2 starsLost

Chico are at home at La Independencia and have recent wins to build on while Alianza are struggling badly for points. The price of 2.30 on the home win looks fair given the contrasting runs of form.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$46
Profit$26
Why it might land
  • Boyaca Chico come into this fixture at La Independencia with two recent wins and two draws from their last five matches.
  • Alianza FC are enduring a poor run of form with three defeats and a single draw from their last five outings.
  • The bookmakers offer a decent price of 2.30 for Boyaca Chico to win this match on Wednesday evening.
Why it might not
  • Boyaca Chico have also recorded a recent defeat in their last five outings which shows they can be vulnerable.
  • Alianza FC managed a win in their last five matches so they are capable of pulling off a surprise result.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreNoPrice varies by bookLost

Alianza have struggled for goals during their recent losing run which points toward a clean sheet for the hosts.

Total goalsUnder 2.5 goalsPrice 1.51Lost

The under 1.5 goals line is priced at 1.51 which suggests a tight match with very few clear scoring chances.

Opens the books licensed in United States
!

This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Boyacá Chicó FC the side to beat here at 42%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Boyacá Chicó FC, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Chico are at home at La Independencia and have recent wins to build on while Alianza are struggling badly for points. The price of 2.30 on the home win looks fair given the contrasting runs of form.

Form and momentum

Boyacá Chicó FC come in patchy, winning 40% of 5 on record. 2 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side built on a tight back line. Right now they are on 2 wins in a row.

Alianza FC come in poor, winning 20% of 5 on record. 0 of their 2 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 42% for CHI, 29% for the draw and 29% for AFC once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Boyacá Chicó FC, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 2.30, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Boyaca Chico have also recorded a recent defeat in their last five outings which shows they can be vulnerable.
  • Alianza FC managed a win in their last five matches so they are capable of pulling off a surprise result.
The bottom line

We back Boyacá Chicó FC for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsCHI +120
CHI2.20draw3.10AFC3.15

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

CHIBoyacá Chicó FC5 games on record
Won2
Drawn2
Lost1
  • Scored6and let in4
  • At home2 winsfrom3
  • Right now2 wins in a row
Last fiveWWDDL
AFCAlianza FC5 games on record
Won1
Drawn1
Lost3
  • Scored2and let in9
  • On the road0 winsfrom2
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLLLD

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Chico or Alianza tonight?

Chico are at home at La Independencia and have recent wins to build on while Alianza are struggling badly for points. The site model calls a home win at 2.20 as fair value given the contrasting runs o...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
MyBookie · 18+ T&Cs applyUp to $1000 welcome bonusBET NOW