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Betting tips › Brasileirao ›  Botafogo v Vasco da Gama

 BrasileiraoWed 7 Oct 23:30 UTCJoao Havelange Stadium

Botafogo v Vasco da Gama tips

BOTBotafogoLWDDL
VS
VASVasco da GamaWWLWL
The model callOver 2.5Total goals1.74★★★★2 stars

Expect goals to flow freely at Joao Havelange Stadium despite mixed recent form. Both squads show enough inconsistency to push the total past the line.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$34.8
Profit$14.8
Why it might land
  • Botafogo enters this fixture carrying a patchy sequence of results that features three losses in their last five matches.
  • Vasco da Gama brings volatile form to the pitch after recording three wins and two defeats across their most recent outings.
  • The bookmakers offer a tempting price of 1.74 for backers expecting more than two goals to be scored in this clash.
Why it might not
  • Botafogo failed to find the back of the net in two of their last five matches which could stall the scoring rate.
  • Vasco da Gama also drew a blank in two recent fixtures and might struggle to contribute enough goals alone.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both sides trade wins and losses frequently enough to suggest neither defence will keep a clean sheet.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Botafogo the side to beat here at 36%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Over 2.5, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Expect goals to flow freely at Joao Havelange Stadium despite mixed recent form. Both squads show enough inconsistency to push the total past the line.

Form and momentum

Botafogo come in poor, winning 13% of 8 on record. 1 of their 5 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

Vasco da Gama come in patchy, winning 43% of 7 on record. 1 of their 4 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 2 wins in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 36% for BOT, 28% for the draw and 36% for VAS once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 1.74, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Botafogo failed to find the back of the net in two of their last five matches which could stall the scoring rate.
  • Vasco da Gama also drew a blank in two recent fixtures and might struggle to contribute enough goals alone.
The bottom line

We back Over 2.5 for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsBOT +155
BOT2.55draw3.30VAS2.60

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

BOTBotafogo8 games on record
Won1
Drawn3
Lost4
  • Scored7and let in13
  • At home1 winsfrom5
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLWDDL
VASVasco da Gama7 games on record
Won3
Drawn1
Lost3
  • Scored11and let in10
  • On the road1 winsfrom4
  • Right now2 wins in a row
Last fiveWWLWL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Goals in Botafogo v Vasco?

The site model calls for a high scoring draw at Joao Havelange Stadium. Both squads show enough inconsistency to push the total past the line. The doubt is that Botafogo failed to score in two of thei...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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