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Betting tips › Brazil Serie B ›  Botafogo-SP v Goiás

 Brazil Serie BMon 14 Sept 22:30 UTCEstádio Santa CruzFinished

Botafogo-SP v Goiás tips

BFCBotafogo-SPLLLLD
1 : 3
GOIGoiásLLWDL
The model callOver 1.5Total goals1.49★★★★2 starsWon

We should back at least two goals here because both defensive units have struggled heavily in recent weeks. The total line of 1.5 goals gives us a very workable entry point at the current prices.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$29.8
Profit$9.8
Why it might land
  • Botafogo SP are on a poor run of form where they have lost four of their last five matches while shipping multiple goals.
  • Goias enter this fixture with recent results that show defensive frailties, including a recent defeat and a draw where they leaked goals.
  • The market price of 1.49 for over 1.5 total goals suggests bookmakers expect a fairly open game at Estadio Santa Cruz.
Why it might not
  • Goias managed only a single win across their last four matches which shows they can struggle to break stubborn opponents down.
  • Botafogo SP only managed a single draw in their last five outings and might fail to find the net themselves.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreNoPrice varies by bookLost

Botafogo SP are in such poor scoring form that Goias might manage to keep a clean sheet away from home.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Botafogo-SP the side to beat here at 39%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Over 1.5, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. We should back at least two goals here because both defensive units have struggled heavily in recent weeks. The total line of 1.5 goals gives us a very workable entry point at the current prices.

Form and momentum

Botafogo-SP come in poor, winning 0% of 5 on record. 0 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 4 losss in a row.

Goiás come in poor, winning 20% of 5 on record. 0 of their 2 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 2 losss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 39% for BFC, 33% for the draw and 28% for GOI once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Botafogo-SP, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.49, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Goias managed only a single win across their last four matches which shows they can struggle to break stubborn opponents down.
  • Botafogo SP only managed a single draw in their last five outings and might fail to find the net themselves.
The bottom line

We back Over 1.5 for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsBFC +140
BFC2.40draw2.85GOI3.40

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

BFCBotafogo-SP5 games on record
Won0
Drawn1
Lost4
  • Scored3and let in10
  • At homeno winsfrom3
  • Right now4 losss in a row
Last fiveLLLLD
GOIGoiás5 games on record
Won1
Drawn1
Lost3
  • Scored3and let in6
  • On the road0 winsfrom2
  • Right now2 losss in a row
Last fiveLLWDL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Goals in Botafogo SP versus Goias?

Both defences have struggled lately so the site model likes over 1.5 goals here at decent odds. Goias only managed one win in four though so they might find it tough to break through. What are you all...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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