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Betting tips › Primera Division ›  Boston River v Juventud

 Primera DivisionSun 4 Oct 16:00 UTCCampeones Olímpicos

Boston River v Juventud tips

BOSBoston RiverLLLLD
VS
JUVJuventudDWDDW
The model callJuventudMatch result2.50★★★★2 stars

Juventud arrive in much better shape with an unbeaten recent run while Boston River keep losing matches. The away win price of 2.50 offers a solid value option for this fixture.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$50
Profit$30
Why it might land
  • Juventud bring an unbeaten run into this fixture that includes two recent wins and three draws from their last five matches.
  • Boston River are struggling badly for form after collecting four defeats and just one draw from their last five outings.
  • The market price of 2.50 for Juventud to win provides a very fair return given the stark contrast in recent results.
Why it might not
  • Juventud have also shared the spoils in three of their last five matches which shows they can sometimes struggle to kill teams off.
  • Playing away at the Campeones Olímpicos is never straightforward even against a side that has been losing every week.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreNoPrice varies by book

Boston River are finding it very difficult to hit the back of the net during their current losing streak.

Total goalsUnder 2.5 goalsPrice 1.71

Neither side has shown enough consistent attacking firepower in recent weeks to push this past two goals.

Opens the books licensed in United States
!

This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Juventud the side to beat here at 36%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Juventud, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Juventud arrive in much better shape with an unbeaten recent run while Boston River keep losing matches. The away win price of 2.50 offers a solid value option for this fixture.

Form and momentum

Boston River come in poor, winning 17% of 6 on record. 0 of their 2 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 4 losss in a row.

Juventud come in solid, winning 50% of 6 on record. 2 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 34% for BOS, 29% for the draw and 36% for JUV once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.50, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Juventud have also shared the spoils in three of their last five matches which shows they can sometimes struggle to kill teams off.
  • Playing away at the Campeones Olímpicos is never straightforward even against a side that has been losing every week.
The bottom line

We back Juventud for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsJUV +150
BOS2.65draw3.10JUV2.50

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

BOSBoston River6 games on record
Won1
Drawn1
Lost4
  • Scored8and let in11
  • At home0 winsfrom2
  • Right now4 losss in a row
Last fiveLLLLD
JUVJuventud6 games on record
Won3
Drawn3
Lost0
  • Scored9and let in4
  • On the road2 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDWDDW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Boston River vs Juventud value on away win?

The site model calls Juventud at 2.50 because they are in better shape while Boston River keep losing. The worry is that Juventud drew three of their last five and struggle to kill teams off. What are...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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