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Betting tips › Bundesliga ›  Borussia Mönchengladbach v SC Paderborn 07

 BundesligaSat 31 Oct 14:30 UTCBORUSSIA-PARK

Borussia Mönchengladbach v SC Paderborn 07 tips

BMGBorussia MönchengladbachLLLLW
VS
SCPSC Paderborn 07WLLD
The model callSC Paderborn 07Match result3.30★★★★1 star

Gladbach are enduring a terrible run of four straight defeats and Paderborn arrive with a win in their last five matches to exploit those defensive frailties at a decent price.

Stake1 unit
That is$10
Returns$33
Profit$23
Why it might land
  • Borussia Monchengladbach come into this fixture having suffered four consecutive league defeats in their most recent outings
  • SC Paderborn 07 picked up a recent victory in their last five matches to show they can take three points
  • The bookmakers offer a generous price of 3.30 for SC Paderborn 07 to win away from home against struggling opponents
Why it might not
  • SC Paderborn 07 still have some questions to answer after managing just one draw and two losses in their other recent games
  • Borussia Monchengladbach remain at home inside BORUSSIA PARK where they will be desperate to stop their losing streak immediately
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Neither side has shown enough defensive consistency lately to suggest either goal will stay completely clean.

Total goalsOver 3.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Both defenses have looked leaky in recent weeks which could push the scoreline past the 3.5 total goals line.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Borussia Mönchengladbach the side to beat here at 48%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on SC Paderborn 07, and it backs that with a 1 unit stake. Gladbach are enduring a terrible run of four straight defeats and Paderborn arrive with a win in their last five matches to exploit those defensive frailties at a decent price.

Form and momentum

Borussia Mönchengladbach come in poor, winning 24% of 38 on record. 6 of their 19 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 4 losss in a row.

SC Paderborn 07 come in poor, winning 25% of 4 on record. 0 of their 2 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 48% for BMG, 24% for the draw and 28% for SCP once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Borussia Mönchengladbach, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 3.30, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • SC Paderborn 07 still have some questions to answer after managing just one draw and two losses in their other recent games
  • Borussia Monchengladbach remain at home inside BORUSSIA PARK where they will be desperate to stop their losing streak immediately
The bottom line

We back SC Paderborn 07 for 1 unit. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceBet365
BMG1.90draw3.90SCP3.50
SourceDraftKingsBMG -105
BMG1.95draw3.80SCP3.30

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

BMGBorussia Mönchengladbach38 games on record
Won9
Drawn11
Lost18
  • Scored48and let in69
  • At home6 winsfrom19
  • Right now4 losss in a row
Last fiveLLLLW
SCPSC Paderborn 074 games on record
Won1
Drawn1
Lost2
  • Scored3and let in5
  • On the road0 winsfrom2
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLLD

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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