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Betting tips › Champions League ›  Borussia Dortmund v Villarreal

 Champions LeagueTue 8 Sept 19:00 UTCSignal Iduna ParkFinished

Borussia Dortmund v Villarreal tips

DORBorussia DortmundWWWWL
3 : 2
VILVillarrealLLDDW
The model callBorussia DortmundMatch result1.80★★★★2 starsWon

Borussia Dortmund play at home here. They bring much better recent form into this fixture.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$36
Profit$16
Why it might land
  • Borussia Dortmund won four of their last five matches in all competitions.
  • The bookmakers price the home side as clear favourites at eighteen to ten.
  • Villarreal lost their last two matches and struggle for any consistent winning momentum.
Why it might not
  • Villarreal could frustrate the hosts and nick a draw if they defend deep.
  • The price is a bit short for a confident single bet in Europe.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by bookWon

Villarreal managed a win last time out and Dortmund keep winning without keeping clean sheets.

Total goalsOver 3.5 goalsPrice 2.20Won

Dortmund score plenty of goals at home and Villarreal have been leaking them lately.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Borussia Dortmund the side to beat here at 53%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Borussia Dortmund, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Borussia Dortmund play at home here. They bring much better recent form into this fixture.

Form and momentum

Borussia Dortmund come in strong, winning 60% of 40 on record. 15 of their 21 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 4 wins in a row.

Villarreal come in patchy, winning 43% of 40 on record. 6 of their 21 away games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 2 losss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 53% for DOR, 24% for the draw and 23% for VIL once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Borussia Dortmund, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.80, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

When these two meet

Across 1 past meetings DOR hold the edge with 1 wins to 0, with 0 drawn. Old results carry less weight than they look, but the pattern is worth a glance.

Where it could go wrong
  • Villarreal could frustrate the hosts and nick a draw if they defend deep.
  • The price is a bit short for a confident single bet in Europe.
The bottom line

We back Borussia Dortmund for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsDOR -125
DOR1.80draw4.00VIL4.10

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

DORBorussia Dortmund40 games on record
Won24
Drawn7
Lost9
  • Scored82and let in50
  • At home15 winsfrom21
  • Right now4 wins in a row
Last fiveWWWWL
VILVillarreal40 games on record
Won17
Drawn7
Lost16
  • Scored67and let in61
  • On the road6 winsfrom21
  • Right now2 losss in a row
Last fiveLLDDW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

Head to head

When these two have met

1DOR wins
0drawn
0VIL wins
  • Borussia Dortmund 4 : 0 Villarreal25 Nov 2025 · Champions League

Old meetings are worth less than they look. Squads change, managers change, and a result from two seasons ago tells you almost nothing about this one.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Dortmund or Villarreal tonight?

Dortmund are at home and come in with much better recent form. Villarreal could frustrate the hosts and nick a draw if they defend deep. The site model calls Dortmund to win this one. What are you lot...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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