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Betting tips › Liga Profesional ›  Boca Juniors v River Plate

 Liga ProfesionalSun 1 Nov 18:00 UTCAlberto José Armando (La Bombonera)

Boca Juniors v River Plate tips

CABJBoca JuniorsLWWDW
VS
RIVRiver PlateLWWWD
The model callBoca JuniorsMatch result2.25★★★★2 stars

Boca Juniors return to La Bombonera to face River Plate in a classic Superclasico fixture. The hosts hold a solid recent run of form that makes them a decent value bet at the current price.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$45
Profit$25
Why it might land
  • Boca Juniors enter this clash at La Bombonera having secured three wins and a draw from their last five matches.
  • The home side are priced at a very playable 2.25 to win this match in front of their own supporters.
  • River Plate travel across town following a recent loss in their most recent fixture which halts their momentum.
Why it might not
  • River Plate remain dangerous opponents despite that recent defeat because they also managed three wins and a draw in their last five outings.
  • Boca Juniors suffered a recent loss themselves in their last five matches which proves they are far from invincible.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both squads carry strong recent scoring form into this derby which suggests neither defence will keep a clean sheet.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Superclasico matches can sometimes explode into high scoring affairs when both attacks find their rhythm early.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Boca Juniors the side to beat here at 42%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Boca Juniors, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Boca Juniors return to La Bombonera to face River Plate in a classic Superclasico fixture. The hosts hold a solid recent run of form that makes them a decent value bet at the current price.

Form and momentum

Boca Juniors come in patchy, winning 38% of 8 on record. 2 of their 4 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side built on a tight back line. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

River Plate come in solid, winning 57% of 7 on record. 2 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 42% for CABJ, 30% for the draw and 28% for RIV once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Boca Juniors, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 2.25, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • River Plate remain dangerous opponents despite that recent defeat because they also managed three wins and a draw in their last five outings.
  • Boca Juniors suffered a recent loss themselves in their last five matches which proves they are far from invincible.
The bottom line

We back Boca Juniors for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsCABJ +125
CABJ2.25draw3.15RIV3.30

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

CABJBoca Juniors8 games on record
Won3
Drawn4
Lost1
  • Scored11and let in7
  • At home2 winsfrom4
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLWWDW
RIVRiver Plate7 games on record
Won4
Drawn1
Lost2
  • Scored13and let in9
  • On the road2 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLWWWD

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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