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Betting tips › Championship ›  Blackburn Rovers v Cardiff City

 ChampionshipSat 10 Oct 14:00 UTCEwood Park

Blackburn Rovers v Cardiff City tips

BLKBlackburn RoversDWLLD
VS
CARCardiff CityWLDLL
The model callCardiff CityMatch result2.45★★★★1 star

Cardiff City arrive at Ewood Park as slight favourites despite recent struggles in the division. Both teams show mixed form lately which makes this a very tight match to call.

Stake1 unit
That is$10
Returns$24.5
Profit$14.5
Why it might land
  • Cardiff City are priced at two point four five to win this match which offers a decent price in a tricky contest.
  • Blackburn Rovers head into this fixture after picking up two draws and two losses from their last five league outings.
  • Cardiff City managed a win recently in their last five matches while Blackburn Rovers failed to win in their last two.
Why it might not
  • Cardiff City suffered three defeats in their last five matches including two losses on the bounce before this trip.
  • Blackburn Rovers have home advantage at Ewood Park and they earned a draw in their most recent league fixture.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both teams concede goals regularly based on their recent run of form in the Championship.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice 1.61

Over two point five goals is priced at one point six one because the bookmakers expect plenty of action.

Opens the books licensed in United States
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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Cardiff City the side to beat here at 38%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Cardiff City, and it backs that with a 1 unit stake. Cardiff City arrive at Ewood Park as slight favourites despite recent struggles in the division. Both teams show mixed form lately which makes this a very tight match to call.

Form and momentum

Blackburn Rovers come in poor, winning 30% of 40 on record. 6 of their 21 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

Cardiff City come in solid, winning 48% of 40 on record. 6 of their 19 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 35% for BLK, 27% for the draw and 38% for CAR once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.45, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Cardiff City suffered three defeats in their last five matches including two losses on the bounce before this trip.
  • Blackburn Rovers have home advantage at Ewood Park and they earned a draw in their most recent league fixture.
The bottom line

We back Cardiff City for 1 unit. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceBet365
BLK2.58draw3.50CAR2.45
SourceDraftKingsCAR +145
BLK2.65draw3.50CAR2.45

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

BLKBlackburn Rovers40 games on record
Won12
Drawn13
Lost15
  • Scored42and let in47
  • At home6 winsfrom21
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDWLLD
CARCardiff City40 games on record
Won19
Drawn11
Lost10
  • Scored72and let in50
  • On the road6 winsfrom19
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLDLL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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