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Betting tips › USL Championship ›  Birmingham Legion FC v New Mexico United

 USL ChampionshipThu 17 Sept 00:30 UTCDunnavant Valley FieldsFinished

Birmingham Legion FC v New Mexico United tips

BRMBirmingham Legion FCDDLL
4 : 4
NMUNew Mexico UnitedDWLWD
The model callUnder 3.5Total goals1.61★★★★2 starsLost

New Mexico United arrive in decent shape while Birmingham struggle for wins, but the total goals line sits high at 3.5 making the under price of 1.61 worth a look.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$32.2
Profit$12.2
Why it might land
  • Birmingham Legion FC enter this fixture following a difficult run of form that includes two recent draws and two straight losses in league play.
  • The total goals line is set high at 3.5 with the under priced at 1.61 which offers a sensible margin for a low scoring affair.
  • New Mexico United show mixed results recently with draws against strong sides alongside wins and losses which suggests a tight tactical battle.
Why it might not
  • New Mexico United managed to secure victories in recent outings which could spark their attack and push the match past the total goals line.
  • Birmingham Legion FC will play at home on their own turf and might find a way to break through a visiting defense.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreNoPrice varies by bookLost

Birmingham Legion FC have struggled to find the back of the net consistently during their recent run of defeats.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes New Mexico United the side to beat here at 37%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Under 3.5, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. New Mexico United arrive in decent shape while Birmingham struggle for wins, but the total goals line sits high at 3.5 making the under price of 1.61 worth a look.

Form and momentum

Birmingham Legion FC come in poor, winning 0% of 4 on record. 0 of their 2 home games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 2 draws in a row.

New Mexico United come in patchy, winning 40% of 5 on record. 1 of their 2 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 36% for BRM, 27% for the draw and 37% for NMU once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 1.61, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • New Mexico United managed to secure victories in recent outings which could spark their attack and push the match past the total goals line.
  • Birmingham Legion FC will play at home on their own turf and might find a way to break through a visiting defense.
The bottom line

We back Under 3.5 for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsNMU +145
BRM2.50draw3.40NMU2.45

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

BRMBirmingham Legion FC4 games on record
Won0
Drawn2
Lost2
  • Scored8and let in10
  • At homeno winsfrom2
  • Right now2 draws in a row
Last fiveDDLL
NMUNew Mexico United5 games on record
Won2
Drawn2
Lost1
  • Scored7and let in6
  • On the road1 winsfrom2
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDWLWD

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Legion v NM United draw or goals?

The site model calls this a draw with the under on three and a half goals looking decent at one point six one because Birmingham keep struggling for wins. New Mexico are in better shape though and rec...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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