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Betting tips › USL Championship ›  Birmingham Legion FC v Loudoun United FC

 USL ChampionshipSun 18 Oct 21:00 UTCProtective Stadium

Birmingham Legion FC v Loudoun United FC tips

BRMBirmingham Legion FCWLDDD
VS
LOULoudoun United FCWLLLL
The model callBirmingham Legion FCMatch result1.95★★★★2 stars

Birmingham have home advantage at Protective Stadium and face a struggling opponent. Loudoun are on a heavy losing run.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$39
Profit$19
Why it might land
  • Birmingham Legion FC come into this fixture at Protective Stadium after securing a recent win that breaks up a stubborn run of draws.
  • Loudoun United FC arrive in Birmingham with a poor recent run of form that includes four defeats from their last five matches.
  • The bookmakers price Birmingham Legion FC to win at decimal odds of 1.95 which offers fair value for the hosts.
Why it might not
  • Birmingham Legion FC recorded three draws in their five most recent matches which shows they can struggle to put opponents away.
  • Loudoun United FC managed to win one of their last five outings and will be desperate to avoid another heavy defeat on the road.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreNoPrice varies by book

Loudoun United FC have suffered four defeats in five games and could struggle to break down the Birmingham defence.

Total goalsUnder 3.5 goalsPrice varies by book

The total goals line is set at 3.5 and both teams have plenty of recent low scoring outings in their form guides.

Opens the books licensed in United States
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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Birmingham Legion FC the side to beat here at 46%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Birmingham Legion FC, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Birmingham have home advantage at Protective Stadium and face a struggling opponent. Loudoun are on a heavy losing run.

Form and momentum

Birmingham Legion FC come in poor, winning 14% of 7 on record. 1 of their 4 home games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

Loudoun United FC come in poor, winning 17% of 6 on record. 1 of their 4 away games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 46% for BRM, 25% for the draw and 29% for LOU once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Birmingham Legion FC, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.95, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Birmingham Legion FC recorded three draws in their five most recent matches which shows they can struggle to put opponents away.
  • Loudoun United FC managed to win one of their last five outings and will be desperate to avoid another heavy defeat on the road.
The bottom line

We back Birmingham Legion FC for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsBRM -105
BRM1.95draw3.60LOU3.15

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

BRMBirmingham Legion FC7 games on record
Won1
Drawn3
Lost3
  • Scored16and let in18
  • At home1 winsfrom4
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLDDD
LOULoudoun United FC6 games on record
Won1
Drawn1
Lost4
  • Scored10and let in13
  • On the road1 winsfrom4
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLLLL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Birmingham or Loudoun tonight?

The site model has Birmingham Legion at home against a struggling Loudoun side on a bad losing run. The worry is Birmingham drew three of their last five games and often fail to finish teams off. What...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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