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Betting tips › Championship ›  Birmingham City v Wolverhampton Wanderers

 ChampionshipSun 6 Sept 11:00 UTCSt. Andrew's StadiumFinished

Birmingham City v Wolverhampton Wanderers tips

BIRBirmingham CityDWLDD
2 : 2
WOLWolverhampton WanderersLWWWD
The model callDrawMatch result3.45★★★★1 starWon

Local derbies at St Andrews are usually fiery and tight affairs. With no form on record for either side a point each looks likely.

Stake1 unit
That is$10
Returns$34.5
Profit$24.5
Why it might land
  • Derby matches at this ground tend to be cagey and tense.
  • The price of 3.45 offers solid value for a close battle.
  • Neither side has built any early season momentum on the board.
Why it might not
  • Wolves have the shorter price and could nick all three points.
  • Home advantage might push Birmingham to claim a narrow victory instead.
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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Wolverhampton Wanderers the side to beat here at 39%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Draw, and it backs that with a 1 unit stake. Local derbies at St Andrews are usually fiery and tight affairs. With no form on record for either side a point each looks likely.

Form and momentum

Birmingham City come in poor, winning 30% of 40 on record. 7 of their 20 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

Wolverhampton Wanderers come in poor, winning 15% of 40 on record. 2 of their 21 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 33% for BIR, 28% for the draw and 39% for WOL once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 3.45, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Wolves have the shorter price and could nick all three points.
  • Home advantage might push Birmingham to claim a narrow victory instead.
The bottom line

We back Draw for 1 unit. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsWOL +145
BIR2.90draw3.40WOL2.45

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

BIRBirmingham City40 games on record
Won12
Drawn13
Lost15
  • Scored50and let in57
  • At home7 winsfrom20
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDWLDD
WOLWolverhampton Wanderers40 games on record
Won6
Drawn12
Lost22
  • Scored38and let in68
  • On the road2 winsfrom21
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLWWWD

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Birmingham v Wolves: Is the draw the smart play?

The site model backs the draw at 3.45 because local derbies at St Andrews are usually fiery, tight matches with no form on record for either side. The danger is that Wolves have the shorter price at 2...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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