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Betting tips › Serie B ›  Benevento v Cesena

 Serie BSat 10 Oct 13:00 UTCStadio Ciro Vigorito

Benevento v Cesena tips

BENBeneventoWWLDL
VS
CESCesenaDDDWD
The model callOver 2.5Total goals1.80★★★★2 stars

Expect an open game at Stadio Ciro Vigorito because both sides need points. The goals line gives us a fair price to back attacking intent.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$36
Profit$16
Why it might land
  • The total goals line set at 2.5 offers an appealing price of 1.80 for the over selection based on general league scoring patterns.
  • Benevento play at home where recent results show they are eager to attack despite a mixed run of form featuring two wins and two losses.
  • Cesena arrive with plenty of draws in their recent matches showing they can find the net even when they share the points.
Why it might not
  • Cesena have been drawing too many games recently which suggests they might try to keep things tight instead of chasing goals.
  • Benevento lost two of their last five matches which brings some doubt about how easily they can push the tempo alone.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both teams to score is likely since Cesena keep drawing and Benevento leak goals in their defeats.

Opens the books licensed in United States
!

This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Benevento the side to beat here at 50%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Over 2.5, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Expect an open game at Stadio Ciro Vigorito because both sides need points. The goals line gives us a fair price to back attacking intent.

Form and momentum

Benevento come in patchy, winning 40% of 5 on record. 1 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 2 wins in a row.

Cesena come in poor, winning 20% of 5 on record. 1 of their 2 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 3 draws in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 50% for BEN, 26% for the draw and 24% for CES once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Benevento, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.80, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Cesena have been drawing too many games recently which suggests they might try to keep things tight instead of chasing goals.
  • Benevento lost two of their last five matches which brings some doubt about how easily they can push the tempo alone.
The bottom line

We back Over 2.5 for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsBEN -115
BEN1.87draw3.55CES3.80

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

BENBenevento5 games on record
Won2
Drawn1
Lost2
  • Scored6and let in5
  • At home1 winsfrom3
  • Right now2 wins in a row
Last fiveWWLDL
CESCesena5 games on record
Won1
Drawn4
Lost0
  • Scored7and let in6
  • On the road1 winsfrom2
  • Right now3 draws in a row
Last fiveDDDWD

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Benevento v Cesena draw?

The site model calls the draw here because both teams need points and should attack. The worry is that Cesena have been drawing too many lately and might just shut up shop. What are you lot on for thi...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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