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Betting tips › League One ›  Barnsley v Leicester City

 League OneSat 19 Sept 11:30 UTCOakwellFinished

Barnsley v Leicester City tips

BARBarnsleyDLLWW
1 : 1
LEILeicester CityWLWDL
The model callLeicester CityMatch result2.00★★★★2 starsLost

Leicester City come into this fixture away from home at Oakwell with a better recent form profile than Barnsley. The visitors hold a fair price at two point zero to take all three points.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$40
Profit$20
Why it might land
  • Leicester City are priced at two point zero to win the match which gives a solid return for an away side with better recent form.
  • Barnsley head into this fixture at Oakwell having suffered defeats in their last two matches against their recent opponents.
  • The visiting side managed a victory in their most recent five outings unlike a Barnsley team currently on a losing streak.
Why it might not
  • Leicester City lost two of their last five matches which shows they can be vulnerable on the road in League One.
  • Barnsley won three matches in a row just before their current two game losing run so they can put a sequence together.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by bookWon

Both teams have mixed defensive records in their recent results so goals could go in at both ends.

Total goalsUnder 3.5 goalsPrice 1.59Won

The total goals line is set at three point five with under priced at one point five nine.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Leicester City the side to beat here at 46%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Leicester City, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Leicester City come into this fixture away from home at Oakwell with a better recent form profile than Barnsley. The visitors hold a fair price at two point zero to take all three points.

Form and momentum

Barnsley come in poor, winning 30% of 40 on record. 8 of their 21 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

Leicester City come in poor, winning 23% of 40 on record. 3 of their 20 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 28% for BAR, 26% for the draw and 46% for LEI once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Leicester City, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 2.00, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Leicester City lost two of their last five matches which shows they can be vulnerable on the road in League One.
  • Barnsley won three matches in a row just before their current two game losing run so they can put a sequence together.
The bottom line

We back Leicester City for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsLEI +100
BAR3.25draw3.60LEI2.00

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

BARBarnsley40 games on record
Won12
Drawn13
Lost15
  • Scored61and let in71
  • At home8 winsfrom21
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDLLWW
LEILeicester City40 games on record
Won9
Drawn12
Lost19
  • Scored50and let in69
  • On the road3 winsfrom20
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLWDL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Barnsley v Leicester City thoughts?

Leicester head to Oakwell with stronger recent form and the site model makes them the call at evens. They did drop two of their last five on the road though so they can look a bit shaky away from home...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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