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Betting tips › LigaPro ›  Barcelona SC v Universidad Católica (Quito)

 LigaProSun 18 Oct 18:00 UTC

Barcelona SC v Universidad Católica (Quito) tips

BARBarcelona SCDDWLW
VS
UCAUniversidad Católica (Quito)LWWDD
The model callBarcelona SCMatch result2.20★★★★1 star

Barcelona start as slight favourites at home against Universidad Catolica. Both sides show mixed recent form which makes this a tricky match to call.

Stake1 unit
That is$10
Returns$22
Profit$12
Why it might land
  • Barcelona play this fixture at their home ground where the market prices them at 2.20 to win the match.
  • The hosts grabbed two wins and two draws from their last five outings to show some stability.
  • Universidad Catolica suffered defeat in their most recent fixture out of their last five matches.
Why it might not
  • Barcelona lost one of their recent matches which shows they can be vulnerable at any point.
  • Universidad Catolica put together a decent unbeaten run of two wins and two draws before their latest loss.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both sides traded wins and draws recently which suggests they could both find the net here.

Total goalsUnder 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Neither team has shown an explosive scoring touch in their recent results to suggest a high scoring game.

Opens the books licensed in United States
!

This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Barcelona SC the side to beat here at 41%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Barcelona SC, and it backs that with a 1 unit stake. Barcelona start as slight favourites at home against Universidad Catolica. Both sides show mixed recent form which makes this a tricky match to call.

Form and momentum

Barcelona SC come in patchy, winning 40% of 5 on record. 2 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 2 draws in a row.

Universidad Católica (Quito) come in solid, winning 50% of 6 on record. 1 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 41% for BAR, 27% for the draw and 31% for UCA once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.20, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Barcelona lost one of their recent matches which shows they can be vulnerable at any point.
  • Universidad Catolica put together a decent unbeaten run of two wins and two draws before their latest loss.
The bottom line

We back Barcelona SC for 1 unit. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsBAR +120
BAR2.20draw3.30UCA2.90

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

BARBarcelona SC5 games on record
Won2
Drawn2
Lost1
  • Scored7and let in5
  • At home2 winsfrom3
  • Right now2 draws in a row
Last fiveDDWLW
UCAUniversidad Católica (Quito)6 games on record
Won3
Drawn2
Lost1
  • Scored12and let in7
  • On the road1 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLWWDD

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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