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Betting tips › Brasileirao ›  Bahia v Flamengo

 BrasileiraoSat 17 Oct 18:00 UTCArena Fonte Nova

Bahia v Flamengo tips

BAHBahiaLWWWW
VS
FLAFlamengoDWWWW
The model callFlamengoMatch result2.05★★★★2 stars

Flamengo arrive with four wins from their last five matches and look slightly too big at two point zero five. Bahia have also won four of their last five but face a tougher test here against elite opposition.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$41
Profit$21
Why it might land
  • Flamengo come into this fixture on a brilliant run of form that includes four victories and a draw from their past five matches.
  • The bookmakers offer an appealing price of two point zero five for an away win given the quality within the visiting squad.
  • Bahia suffered a defeat in their most recent outing which halts the momentum they built during their previous four straight wins.
Why it might not
  • Bahia play this match at home on their own turf and carry four consecutive victories into the fixture.
  • Flamengo picked up a draw in their latest match which shows they can sometimes drop points on the road.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Bahia and Flamengo both enter this fixture in strong scoring form across their recent outings.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Both sides have been scoring freely during their respective four match winning runs so goals should follow.

Opens the books licensed in United States
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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Flamengo the side to beat here at 46%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Flamengo, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Flamengo arrive with four wins from their last five matches and look slightly too big at two point zero five. Bahia have also won four of their last five but face a tougher test here against elite opposition.

Form and momentum

Bahia come in solid, winning 57% of 7 on record. 2 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

Flamengo come in strong, winning 78% of 9 on record. 2 of their 4 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 29% for BAH, 25% for the draw and 46% for FLA once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Flamengo, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 2.05, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Bahia play this match at home on their own turf and carry four consecutive victories into the fixture.
  • Flamengo picked up a draw in their latest match which shows they can sometimes drop points on the road.
The bottom line

We back Flamengo for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsFLA +105
BAH3.20draw3.70FLA2.05

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

BAHBahia7 games on record
Won4
Drawn2
Lost1
  • Scored14and let in10
  • At home2 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLWWWW
FLAFlamengo9 games on record
Won7
Drawn1
Lost1
  • Scored18and let in5
  • On the road2 winsfrom4
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDWWWW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Bahia or Flamengo tonight?

Flamengo are priced at two point zero five with four wins from their last five. Bahia are also in great form with four straight wins on their own turf. The site model calls an away win here. What is e...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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