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Betting tips › J1 League ›  Avispa Fukuoka v Sanfrecce Hiroshima

 J1 LeagueSat 19 Sept 09:00 UTCBest Denki StadiumFinished

Avispa Fukuoka v Sanfrecce Hiroshima tips

AVFAvispa FukuokaLDLLL
0 : 1
SANSanfrecce HiroshimaWLWDD
The model callOver 2.5Total goals1.74★★★★2 starsLost

Sanfrecce Hiroshima bring decent scoring form into this fixture despite some recent draws while Avispa Fukuoka keep losing matches. The price of 1.74 for goals looks solid enough to back.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$34.8
Profit$14.8
Why it might land
  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima arrive here after putting together a solid run that includes two recent wins and a draw from their last five outings.
  • Avispa Fukuoka are stuck in a terrible rut of form having suffered four defeats and a single draw from their last five league fixtures.
  • The bookmakers offer a decent price of 1.74 on over 2.5 goals which reflects the defensive struggles of the home side lately.
Why it might not
  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima have also recorded two draws in their most recent fixtures which shows they can sometimes struggle to kill off games.
  • Avispa Fukuoka might manage to keep the score down at Best Denki Stadium if they decide to park the bus and defend deeply.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by bookLost

Sanfrecce Hiroshima score fairly regularly while the leaky home defence should give them at least one chance.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Sanfrecce Hiroshima the side to beat here at 50%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Over 2.5, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Sanfrecce Hiroshima bring decent scoring form into this fixture despite some recent draws while Avispa Fukuoka keep losing matches. The price of 1.74 for goals looks solid enough to back.

Form and momentum

Avispa Fukuoka come in poor, winning 14% of 7 on record. 1 of their 4 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima come in solid, winning 57% of 7 on record. 1 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 24% for AVF, 26% for the draw and 50% for SAN once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Sanfrecce Hiroshima, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.74, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima have also recorded two draws in their most recent fixtures which shows they can sometimes struggle to kill off games.
  • Avispa Fukuoka might manage to keep the score down at Best Denki Stadium if they decide to park the bus and defend deeply.
The bottom line

We back Over 2.5 for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsSAN -120
AVF3.85draw3.60SAN1.83

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

AVFAvispa Fukuoka7 games on record
Won1
Drawn1
Lost5
  • Scored9and let in11
  • At home1 winsfrom4
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLDLLL
SANSanfrecce Hiroshima7 games on record
Won4
Drawn2
Lost1
  • Scored19and let in6
  • On the road1 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLWDD

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Fukuoka v Hiroshima, anyone fancy the draw?

The site model calls for a draw here because Hiroshima keep drawing and Fukuoka keep losing. Hiroshima do struggle to kill off games sometimes though. What is everyone else on for this one?

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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