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Betting tips › J1 League ›  Avispa Fukuoka v Gamba Osaka

 J1 LeagueWed 21 Oct 10:00 UTCBest Denki Stadium

Avispa Fukuoka v Gamba Osaka tips

AVFAvispa FukuokaLLDLL
VS
GAMGamba OsakaLLLDD
The model callAvispa FukuokaMatch result2.55★★★★1 star

Both teams bring terrible recent form into this fixture at Best Denki Stadium. Avispa Fukuoka gets a slight nod to edge the win simply because they are playing at home.

Stake1 unit
That is$10
Returns$25.5
Profit$15.5
Why it might land
  • Avispa Fukuoka plays this fixture at their home ground of Best Denki Stadium where local support might help them find an extra gear.
  • Gamba Osaka arrives here with a poor run of form showing three losses and two draws in their most recent outings.
  • The betting market prices Avispa Fukuoka at 2.55 to win which offers a fair price given the struggles of both clubs.
Why it might not
  • Avispa Fukuoka enters this match on a miserable run of form that includes four defeats and one draw from their last five games.
  • Gamba Osaka will view this opponent as a prime chance to grab three points despite their own recent struggles on the pitch.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreNoPrice varies by book

Given the poor form and lack of clear attacking momentum from either side one team could easily fail to score.

Total goalsUnder 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Both sides struggle for goals badly in recent weeks so a low scoring match looks likely.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Avispa Fukuoka the side to beat here at 37%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Avispa Fukuoka, and it backs that with a 1 unit stake. Both teams bring terrible recent form into this fixture at Best Denki Stadium. Avispa Fukuoka gets a slight nod to edge the win simply because they are playing at home.

Form and momentum

Avispa Fukuoka come in poor, winning 13% of 8 on record. 1 of their 5 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 2 losss in a row.

Gamba Osaka come in poor, winning 0% of 7 on record. 0 of their 4 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 3 losss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 37% for AVF, 27% for the draw and 36% for GAM once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.55, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Avispa Fukuoka enters this match on a miserable run of form that includes four defeats and one draw from their last five games.
  • Gamba Osaka will view this opponent as a prime chance to grab three points despite their own recent struggles on the pitch.
The bottom line

We back Avispa Fukuoka for 1 unit. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsAVF +155
AVF2.55draw3.40GAM2.60

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

AVFAvispa Fukuoka8 games on record
Won1
Drawn1
Lost6
  • Scored9and let in12
  • At home1 winsfrom5
  • Right now2 losss in a row
Last fiveLLDLL
GAMGamba Osaka7 games on record
Won0
Drawn3
Lost4
  • Scored4and let in11
  • On the roadno winsfrom4
  • Right now3 losss in a row
Last fiveLLLDD

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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