Betting tips › Brazil Serie B › Avaí v Ceará
Brazil Serie BSat 3 Oct 14:00 UTCEstádio da Ressacada
AvaíLLDLL
CearáDWDLWCeara looks the better side given their recent win and draw while Avai is struggling badly. I am backing the visitors to take advantage of their opponents poor form at home.
Avai is on a terrible run of form and could easily fail to find the net against a team that has shown more structure lately.
Both teams are struggling for consistency and the under 2.5 goal line at 1.61 reflects a likely tight game with few clear scoring chances.
This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work
Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.
The market makes Avaí the side to beat here at 35%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Ceará, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Ceara looks the better side given their recent win and draw while Avai is struggling badly. I am backing the visitors to take advantage of their opponents poor form at home.
Avaí come in poor, winning 25% of 8 on record. 1 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 2 losss in a row.
Ceará come in patchy, winning 38% of 8 on record. 0 of their 5 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.
The prices turn into 35% for AVA, 30% for the draw and 35% for CEA once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.65, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.
We back Ceará for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.
Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.
Avaí8 games on recordCeará8 games on recordCounted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.
Our site model likes Ceara because they got a recent win and draw while Avai are struggling hard at home. The bookies have priced both teams at 2.65 so they clearly see it as a coin flip. What are you...