Betting tips › Brazil Serie B › Avaí v Botafogo-SP
Brazil Serie BFri 23 Oct 18:00 UTCAvaí v Botafogo-SP tips
AvaíLLDLL
Botafogo-SPDLLLLAvai are struggling badly with four losses in five games but Botafogo SP are in even worse shape with four defeats on the bounce. The home side can just edge this low quality contest at a price of 2.30 because the visitors are completely toothless on the road.
- Avai play at home where they desperately need a win to pull themselves out of a miserable run of four defeats from their last five matches.
- Botafogo SP arrive in truly wretched form having lost four consecutive games in this division without showing any signs of a recovery.
- The bookmakers offer a decent price of 2.30 on the home win which gives us enough incentive to back the hosts despite their own poor results.
- Avai have been so poor lately with four losses in five matches that trusting them at 2.30 is a massive risk for any punter.
- Botafogo SP might manage to scrap a draw since their opponents are equally terrible and have also picked up four losses in their last five outings.
Both teams are on dreadful losing streaks and failing to score regularly which points straight to a clean sheet for someone.
Neither side can buy a goal right now so expecting a dull match with very few scoring chances makes total sense.
This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work
Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.
Edge Analysis
The market makes Avaí the side to beat here at 40%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Avaí, and it backs that with a 1 unit stake. Avai are struggling badly with four losses in five games but Botafogo SP are in even worse shape with four defeats on the bounce. The home side can just edge this low quality contest at a price of 2.30 because the visitors are completely toothless on the road.
Avaí come in poor, winning 25% of 8 on record. 1 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 2 losss in a row.
Botafogo-SP come in poor, winning 0% of 7 on record. 0 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.
The prices turn into 40% for AVA, 30% for the draw and 29% for BFC once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Avaí, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 2.30, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.
- Avai have been so poor lately with four losses in five matches that trusting them at 2.30 is a massive risk for any punter.
- Botafogo SP might manage to scrap a draw since their opponents are equally terrible and have also picked up four losses in their last five outings.
We back Avaí for 1 unit. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.
Every price we track
Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.
Recent Performance
Avaí8 games on record- Scored7and let in12
- At home1 winsfrom3
- Right now2 losss in a row
Botafogo-SP7 games on record- Scored5and let in14
- On the roadno winsfrom3
- Right now1 draw in a row
Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.