Betting tips › Brazil Serie B › Avaí v Athletic
Brazil Serie BSun 18 Oct 19:00 UTCEstádio da RessacadaAvaí v Athletic tips
AvaíLLDLL
AthleticDDWLWAvai are in terrible form and Athletic look much better lately. The away price offers decent value given how poor the hosts have been.
- Avai come into this match on a very poor run of form after losing four of their last five matches in the league.
- Athletic have shown they can pick up positive results recently by taking two wins and two draws from their past five games.
- The available price of 3.65 on the away win gives us a great chance to back the side with much stronger recent momentum.
- Athletic did suffer a recent defeat in their last five matches which proves they are far from unbeatable on the road.
- Avai managed to secure a draw during their rough patch showing they can occasionally frustrate opponents at the Ressacada.
Avai have struggled so badly for goals lately that keeping a clean sheet for the visitors is very possible.
Neither side has shown enough consistent goalscoring power in their recent matches to back a high scoring game.
This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work
Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.
Edge Analysis
The market makes Avaí the side to beat here at 43%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Athletic, and it backs that with a 1 unit stake. Avai are in terrible form and Athletic look much better lately. The away price offers decent value given how poor the hosts have been.
Avaí come in poor, winning 25% of 8 on record. 1 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 2 losss in a row.
Athletic come in poor, winning 25% of 8 on record. 1 of their 4 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 2 draws in a row.
The prices turn into 43% for AVA, 31% for the draw and 26% for ACMG once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Avaí, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 3.65, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.
- Athletic did suffer a recent defeat in their last five matches which proves they are far from unbeatable on the road.
- Avai managed to secure a draw during their rough patch showing they can occasionally frustrate opponents at the Ressacada.
We back Athletic for 1 unit. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.
Every price we track
Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.
Recent Performance
Avaí8 games on record- Scored7and let in12
- At home1 winsfrom3
- Right now2 losss in a row
Athletic8 games on record- Scored12and let in14
- On the road1 winsfrom4
- Right now2 draws in a row
Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.