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Betting tips › Austrian Bundesliga ›  Austria Vienna v SK Sturm Graz

 Austrian BundesligaSat 10 Oct 17:30 UTCGenerali-Arena

Austria Vienna v SK Sturm Graz tips

VIEAustria ViennaDWLLW
VS
STGSK Sturm GrazLDWLD
The model callOver 2.5Total goals1.69★★★★2 stars

Sturm Graz travels to Generali Arena for an Austrian Bundesliga match where goals look likely. Both sides show mixed recent form that suggests defensive lapses will happen.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$33.8
Profit$13.8
Why it might land
  • The total goals line for over two and a half is priced at a tempting one point six nine based on the current odds.
  • Austria Vienna enters this fixture following a recent run of results that includes two wins and two losses alongside one draw.
  • SK Sturm Graz comes into this away match after recording one win and two draws alongside two defeats in their last five league outings.
Why it might not
  • Austria Vienna suffered two defeats in their recent five matches which shows they can struggle to keep opponents out entirely.
  • SK Sturm Graz failed to secure victory in four of their last five fixtures which highlights their inconsistent scoring touch away from home.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Recent form for both clubs points to leaky defenses that should allow each side to find the net at least once.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes SK Sturm Graz the side to beat here at 43%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Over 2.5, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Sturm Graz travels to Generali Arena for an Austrian Bundesliga match where goals look likely. Both sides show mixed recent form that suggests defensive lapses will happen.

Form and momentum

Austria Vienna come in patchy, winning 33% of 6 on record. 1 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

SK Sturm Graz come in patchy, winning 43% of 7 on record. 1 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 30% for VIE, 27% for the draw and 43% for STG once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward SK Sturm Graz, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.69, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Austria Vienna suffered two defeats in their recent five matches which shows they can struggle to keep opponents out entirely.
  • SK Sturm Graz failed to secure victory in four of their last five fixtures which highlights their inconsistent scoring touch away from home.
The bottom line

We back Over 2.5 for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsSTG +115
VIE3.05draw3.45STG2.15

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

VIEAustria Vienna6 games on record
Won2
Drawn1
Lost3
  • Scored7and let in10
  • At home1 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDWLLW
STGSK Sturm Graz7 games on record
Won3
Drawn2
Lost2
  • Scored7and let in8
  • On the road1 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLDWLD

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Austria Vienna vs Sturm Graz thoughts?

The site model calls this one a draw because both teams show mixed recent form and goals look likely here. Austria Vienna lost two of their last five games though so they might struggle to keep them o...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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