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Betting tips › A-League ›  Auckland FC v Melbourne City FC

 A-LeagueSat 17 Oct 04:00 UTCGo Media Stadium

Auckland FC v Melbourne City FC tips

AFCAuckland FC
VS
MCYMelbourne City FC
The model callAuckland FCMatch result2.50★★★★1 star

We are heading to Go Media Stadium for a match where Auckland FC play at home against Melbourne City FC. I am taking the home side to win this fixture simply because they have the home advantage on their side.

Stake1 unit
That is$10
Returns$25
Profit$15
Why it might land
  • Auckland FC will be playing this fixture at their home ground of Go Media Stadium with the backing of their supporters.
  • The price of 2.50 on offer for an Auckland FC win gives us a decent enough price to consider taking a chance on them.
  • Melbourne City FC must travel away from home for this fixture which always adds an extra layer of difficulty in this league.
Why it might not
  • Auckland FC have no results on record yet which makes it genuinely impossible to know what kind of form they are in.
  • Melbourne City FC also have no results on record yet so we are completely guessing about their true capabilities on the pitch.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Without any previous matches to study from either team we can only hope both find the net.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

We have no historical scoring data for either club so predicting goals is pure guesswork at this early stage.

Opens the books licensed in United States
!

This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Auckland FC the side to beat here at 38%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Auckland FC, and it backs that with a 1 unit stake. We are heading to Go Media Stadium for a match where Auckland FC play at home against Melbourne City FC. I am taking the home side to win this fixture simply because they have the home advantage on their side.

Form and momentum

Auckland FC land here with no settled games on our record yet, so treat their form as an open question.

Melbourne City FC land here with no settled games on our record yet, so treat their form as an open question.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 38% for AFC, 29% for the draw and 33% for MCY once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.50, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Auckland FC have no results on record yet which makes it genuinely impossible to know what kind of form they are in.
  • Melbourne City FC also have no results on record yet so we are completely guessing about their true capabilities on the pitch.
The bottom line

We back Auckland FC for 1 unit. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsAFC +150
AFC2.50draw3.25MCY2.85

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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