Log in
MyBookie
Skybook

Betting tips › LigaPro ›  Aucas v Liga de Quito

 LigaProSun 18 Oct 18:00 UTC

Aucas v Liga de Quito tips

AUCAucasLDDDW
VS
LDULiga de QuitoWDWDL
The model callLiga de QuitoMatch result2.15★★★★2 stars

Liga de Quito comes into this match with better overall recent form than the hosts and looks well priced at 2.15 to take all three points on the road. Aucas has struggled to turn draws into wins lately and might find it tough to contain their visitors here.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$43
Profit$23
Why it might land
  • Liga de Quito holds a stronger recent form line featuring two wins and two draws across their last five matches.
  • Aucas has drawn three of their last five outings which highlights a frustrating inability to close out matches.
  • The 2.15 price on offer for Liga de Quito to win provides solid value given the contrasting recent runs of both sides.
Why it might not
  • Liga de Quito suffered a defeat in their most recent fixture which introduces some doubt about their momentum heading away from home.
  • Aucas managed a win recently and showed they can still be a tricky opponent on their own turf despite a run of draws.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both teams have shown enough inconsistency at the back recently to suggest defensive lapses are likely.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

We lack pricing on the totals line so leaning over is purely speculative based on recent matches.

Opens the books licensed in United States
!

This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Liga de Quito the side to beat here at 42%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Liga de Quito, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Liga de Quito comes into this match with better overall recent form than the hosts and looks well priced at 2.15 to take all three points on the road. Aucas has struggled to turn draws into wins lately and might find it tough to contain their visitors here.

Form and momentum

Aucas come in patchy, winning 33% of 6 on record. 1 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side built on a tight back line. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

Liga de Quito come in solid, winning 50% of 6 on record. 1 of their 2 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 28% for AUC, 30% for the draw and 42% for LDU once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Liga de Quito, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 2.15, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Liga de Quito suffered a defeat in their most recent fixture which introduces some doubt about their momentum heading away from home.
  • Aucas managed a win recently and showed they can still be a tricky opponent on their own turf despite a run of draws.
The bottom line

We back Liga de Quito for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsLDU +115
AUC3.30draw3.00LDU2.15

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

AUCAucas6 games on record
Won2
Drawn3
Lost1
  • Scored5and let in4
  • At home1 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLDDDW
LDULiga de Quito6 games on record
Won3
Drawn2
Lost1
  • Scored9and let in5
  • On the road1 winsfrom2
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWDWDL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
MyBookie · 18+ T&Cs applyUp to $1000 welcome bonusBET NOW