Log in
MyBookie
Skybook

Betting tips › Primera Nacional ›  Atletico Rafaela v San Martín (Tucumán)

 Primera NacionalSat 19 Sept 19:00 UTCEstadio Nuevo MonumentalFinished

Atletico Rafaela v San Martín (Tucumán) tips

RAFAtletico RafaelaLLWD
4 : 2
SANSan Martín (Tucumán)WLDW
The model callOver 1.5Total goals1.67★★★★2 starsWon

We lean toward goals here because San Martin arrive with solid scoring form while Atletico Rafaela struggle to keep clean sheets at home. The price on the over catches the eye.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$33.4
Profit$13.4
Why it might land
  • San Martin arrive here with a strong run of form that includes two wins and a draw from their last four fixtures.
  • Atletico Rafaela have found it difficult to string results together lately as they sit on three losses from their last four matches.
  • The total goals line of 1.5 offers a generous price of 1.67 for the over based on general league scoring patterns.
Why it might not
  • Atletico Rafaela managed a draw in their very latest outing which suggests they might tighten up defensively on their own turf.
  • San Martin also suffered a recent defeat in their last four matches showing they can struggle on the road.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by bookWon

Atletico Rafaela leak goals regularly while San Martin carry enough attacking momentum to find the net.

Opens the books licensed in United States
!

This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Atletico Rafaela the side to beat here at 37%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Over 1.5, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. We lean toward goals here because San Martin arrive with solid scoring form while Atletico Rafaela struggle to keep clean sheets at home. The price on the over catches the eye.

Form and momentum

Atletico Rafaela come in poor, winning 25% of 4 on record. 1 of their 1 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 2 losss in a row.

San Martín (Tucumán) come in solid, winning 50% of 4 on record. 1 of their 2 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 37% for RAF, 32% for the draw and 31% for SAN once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 1.67, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Atletico Rafaela managed a draw in their very latest outing which suggests they might tighten up defensively on their own turf.
  • San Martin also suffered a recent defeat in their last four matches showing they can struggle on the road.
The bottom line

We back Over 1.5 for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsRAF +145
RAF2.45draw2.80SAN2.90

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

RAFAtletico Rafaela4 games on record
Won1
Drawn1
Lost2
  • Scored3and let in5
  • At home1 winsfrom1
  • Right now2 losss in a row
Last fiveLLWD
SANSan Martín (Tucumán)4 games on record
Won2
Drawn1
Lost1
  • Scored6and let in4
  • On the road1 winsfrom2
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLDW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Goals in Rafaela versus San Martin?

The site model calls a draw here. San Martin come in scoring well while Rafaela struggle to keep clean sheets at home so the over looks tempting. That said Rafaela drew their last game which could mea...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
MyBookie · 18+ T&Cs applyUp to $1000 welcome bonusBET NOW