Betting tips › Primera Nacional › Atletico Rafaela v Quilmes
Primera NacionalSat 17 Oct 18:00 UTCEstadio Nuevo MonumentalAtletico Rafaela v Quilmes tips
Atletico RafaelaLWLLW
QuilmesWLWLLAtletico Rafaela play at home against Quilmes in a match where both sides show very mixed form. The betting price of 2.35 on the home win makes them slight favorites on their own ground.
- Atletico Rafaela return to their home stadium at the Estadio Nuevo Monumental carrying a recent sequence of results that includes two wins from their last five matches.
- The bookmakers offer a fair price of 2.35 for Atletico Rafaela to win this match outright based on their home advantage against struggling opponents.
- Quilmes travel to this fixture having suffered three defeats in their most recent five outings which points to ongoing defensive vulnerabilities away from home.
- Atletico Rafaela show extreme inconsistency in their recent results having lost three of their last five matches including two defeats on the bounce.
- Quilmes remain capable of causing problems on the road despite their poor form because they managed to secure two wins in their last five fixtures.
Both squads display leaky defenses across their recent five fixtures making goals likely at both ends.
The total goals line is set at 1.5 but both teams show volatile scoring patterns recently.
This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work
Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.
Edge Analysis
The market makes Atletico Rafaela the side to beat here at 39%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Atletico Rafaela, and it backs that with a 1 unit stake. Atletico Rafaela play at home against Quilmes in a match where both sides show very mixed form. The betting price of 2.35 on the home win makes them slight favorites on their own ground.
Atletico Rafaela come in patchy, winning 33% of 6 on record. 2 of their 2 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.
Quilmes come in patchy, winning 33% of 6 on record. 0 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.
The prices turn into 39% for RAF, 32% for the draw and 29% for QUI once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.35, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.
- Atletico Rafaela show extreme inconsistency in their recent results having lost three of their last five matches including two defeats on the bounce.
- Quilmes remain capable of causing problems on the road despite their poor form because they managed to secure two wins in their last five fixtures.
We back Atletico Rafaela for 1 unit. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.
Every price we track
Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.
Recent Performance
Atletico Rafaela6 games on record- Scored7and let in8
- At home2 winsfrom2
- Right now1 loss in a row
Quilmes6 games on record- Scored3and let in6
- On the road0 winsfrom3
- Right now1 win in a row
Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.