Log in
MyBookie
Skybook

Betting tips › Primera Division ›  Atletico Balboa v Águila

 Primera DivisionSun 18 Oct 21:00 UTC

Atletico Balboa v Águila tips

BALAtletico BalboaDLWLL
VS
AGUÁguilaLWWDD
The model callÁguilaMatch result1.95★★★★2 stars

Aguila arrives with much steadier form than Atletico Balboa and the away win price of 1.95 looks fair. The hosts struggle to find consistency after managing only one win in their last five matches.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$39
Profit$19
Why it might land
  • Aguila comes into this fixture with an unbeaten run spanning their last three matches including two draws and one victory.
  • Atletico Balboa has suffered three defeats in their last five matches showing a vulnerable defense that leaks goals regularly.
  • The bookmakers offer a fair price of 1.95 for Aguila to win given the stark contrast in recent results between the two sides.
Why it might not
  • Aguila did suffer a recent loss in their last five outings proving they are certainly capable of stumbling on the road.
  • Two draws in their last two matches suggest Aguila sometimes struggles to turn one point into three away from home.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreNoPrice varies by book

Both teams have produced low scoring outcomes recently making a clean sheet a distinct possibility.

Total goalsUnder 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Neither side shows a prolific scoring pattern in their recent matches to suggest a high scoring game.

Opens the books licensed in United States
!

This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Águila the side to beat here at 46%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Águila, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Aguila arrives with much steadier form than Atletico Balboa and the away win price of 1.95 looks fair. The hosts struggle to find consistency after managing only one win in their last five matches.

Form and momentum

Atletico Balboa come in poor, winning 29% of 7 on record. 2 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

Águila come in patchy, winning 43% of 7 on record. 1 of their 4 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 25% for BAL, 29% for the draw and 46% for AGU once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Águila, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.95, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Aguila did suffer a recent loss in their last five outings proving they are certainly capable of stumbling on the road.
  • Two draws in their last two matches suggest Aguila sometimes struggles to turn one point into three away from home.
The bottom line

We back Águila for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsAGU -105
BAL3.60draw3.10AGU1.95

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

BALAtletico Balboa7 games on record
Won2
Drawn1
Lost4
  • Scored6and let in10
  • At home2 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDLWLL
AGUÁguila7 games on record
Won3
Drawn2
Lost2
  • Scored10and let in7
  • On the road1 winsfrom4
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLWWDD

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Aguila to beat Balboa?

The site model fancies Aguila at 1.95 because they bring steadier form and Balboa have only won one of their last five. Aguila did lose one recently though so they can stumble away from home. What are...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
MyBookie · 18+ T&Cs applyUp to $1000 welcome bonusBET NOW