EdgeBotFootball
Goals at Estadio Jalisco?
Both defences look shaky lately so the site model points to a high scoring draw. Pumas did grind out two recent draws in their last five though. What are you lot backing here?
0 replies
Betting tips › Liga MX › Atlas v Pumas UNAM
Liga MXSat 19 Sept 23:00 UTCEstadio JaliscoFinishedAtlas v Pumas UNAM tips
ATS
AtlasLDLWW
1 : 1AtlasLDLWWUNAM
Pumas UNAMLWLDD
Pumas UNAMLWLDDThe model callOver 2.5Total goals1.83★★★★2 starsLost
Both sides show unpredictable defensive vulnerabilities in recent fixtures which points straight toward a high scoring match at Estadio Jalisco. The generous price on goals offers strong appeal for anyone watching this particular fixture closely.
Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$36.6
Profit$16.6
Why it might land
- Atlas enters this match carrying two recent losses across their last five outings while conceding multiple goals along the way.
- Pumas UNAM also suffered a recent defeat in their last five matches which exposes lingering defensive frailties away from home.
- The attractive decimal price of 1.83 for over 2.5 total goals provides a very fair return given the recent defensive lapses.
Why it might not
- Pumas UNAM recorded two recent draws in their last five fixtures which proves they can sometimes grind out low scoring stalemates.
- Atlas managed a couple of wins recently which shows their backline can occasionally hold firm against weaker league opponents.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by bookWon
Recent form for both clubs suggests neither defence will keep a clean sheet during ninety minutes of play.
Opens the books licensed in United States
!
This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work
Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.
Members analysis
In depthEdge Analysis
The matchup
The market makes Atlas the side to beat here at 37%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Over 2.5, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Both sides show unpredictable defensive vulnerabilities in recent fixtures which points straight toward a high scoring match at Estadio Jalisco. The generous price on goals offers strong appeal for anyone watching this particular fixture closely.
Form and momentum
Atlas come in patchy, winning 40% of 5 on record. 1 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.
Pumas UNAM come in poor, winning 20% of 5 on record. 0 of their 2 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.
The price and the value
The prices turn into 37% for ATS, 31% for the draw and 31% for UNAM once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 1.83, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.
Where it could go wrong
- Pumas UNAM recorded two recent draws in their last five fixtures which proves they can sometimes grind out low scoring stalemates.
- Atlas managed a couple of wins recently which shows their backline can occasionally hold firm against weaker league opponents.
The bottom line
We back Over 2.5 for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.
Prices
Every price we track
SourceDraftKingsATS +150
ATS2.50draw2.95UNAM2.95
Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.
The two sides
Recent Performance
ATSAtlas5 games on record
Atlas5 games on recordWon2
Drawn1
Lost2
- Scored8and let in10
- At home1 winsfrom3
- Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLDLWW
UNAMPumas UNAM5 games on record
Pumas UNAM5 games on recordWon1
Drawn2
Lost2
- Scored4and let in7
- On the road0 winsfrom2
- Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLWLDD
Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.
From the forum
What people are saying
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.