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Betting tips › Liga MX ›  Atlas v América

 Liga MXThu 22 Oct 01:00 UTCEstadio Jalisco

Atlas v América tips

ATSAtlasWDLDL
VS
AMEAméricaWDLWW
The model callAméricaMatch result2.10★★★★2 stars

America arrives with stronger recent form than Atlas and the price offers decent value for an away win at Estadio Jalisco. Atlas struggles for consistency after picking up two draws and two losses in their last five matches.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$42
Profit$22
Why it might land
  • America comes into this fixture holding two wins from their most recent five outings after defeating opponents with relative comfort.
  • Atlas sits at home with a patchy run of form that includes two losses and two draws across their past five matches.
  • The bookmakers offer a tempting price of 2.10 for America to win this away match given their superior momentum.
Why it might not
  • America did suffer a recent defeat in their last five matches which proves they are capable of dropping points on the road.
  • Atlas managed a win in their latest run of fixtures and could cause problems playing in front of their home supporters.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Atlas and America both tend to trade blows frequently enough to make goals at both ends a likely outcome.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Both sides show mixed defensive records in recent weeks which keeps the outcome on goals very hard to predict.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes América the side to beat here at 44%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on América, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. America arrives with stronger recent form than Atlas and the price offers decent value for an away win at Estadio Jalisco. Atlas struggles for consistency after picking up two draws and two losses in their last five matches.

Form and momentum

Atlas come in patchy, winning 43% of 7 on record. 1 of their 4 home games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

América come in strong, winning 67% of 6 on record. 2 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 29% for ATS, 26% for the draw and 44% for AME once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward América, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 2.10, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • America did suffer a recent defeat in their last five matches which proves they are capable of dropping points on the road.
  • Atlas managed a win in their latest run of fixtures and could cause problems playing in front of their home supporters.
The bottom line

We back América for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsAME +110
ATS3.20draw3.55AME2.10

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

ATSAtlas7 games on record
Won3
Drawn2
Lost2
  • Scored12and let in13
  • At home1 winsfrom4
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWDLDL
AMEAmérica6 games on record
Won4
Drawn1
Lost1
  • Scored16and let in9
  • On the road2 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWDLWW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Atlas against America, are the visitors good value?

The site model calls America at 2.10 because Atlas lacks consistency with two draws and two losses in their last five. America comes in with stronger recent form. They did lose one of their last five ...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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