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Betting tips › MLS ›  Atlanta United FC v Toronto FC

 MLSSun 1 Nov 21:30 UTCMercedes-Benz Stadium

Atlanta United FC v Toronto FC tips

ATLAtlanta United FCDWDLD
VS
TORToronto FCLLLWD
The model callAtlanta United FCMatch result2.15★★★★2 stars

Atlanta play at home against Toronto and hold a better recent run of results than their opponents. The odds offer a reasonable price of 2.15 for the hosts to secure a victory.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$43
Profit$23
Why it might land
  • Atlanta United FC enter this fixture at Mercedes Benz Stadium with a recent run of form showing a draw, a win, a draw, a loss and a draw.
  • Toronto FC travel to this away match with a poor sequence of recent results that features three losses followed by a win and a draw.
  • The bookmakers offer a fair price of 2.15 for Atlanta United FC to win which makes backing the home side an appealing option for this MLS encounter.
Why it might not
  • Atlanta United FC have recorded three draws in their last five outings which shows they often struggle to turn dominant positions into actual wins.
  • Toronto FC managed to win one of their recent fixtures which proves they can occasionally pull off a surprise result when least expected.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Recent defensive vulnerabilities for both sides suggest each team will find a way to break through and score.

Total goalsUnder 3.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Both teams show mixed scoring form in their recent matches which points towards a tight game below the 3.5 goals line.

Opens the books licensed in United States
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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Atlanta United FC the side to beat here at 43%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Atlanta United FC, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Atlanta play at home against Toronto and hold a better recent run of results than their opponents. The odds offer a reasonable price of 2.15 for the hosts to secure a victory.

Form and momentum

Atlanta United FC come in patchy, winning 44% of 9 on record. 2 of their 5 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

Toronto FC come in patchy, winning 33% of 9 on record. 1 of their 4 away games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 3 losss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 43% for ATL, 24% for the draw and 33% for TOR once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.15, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Atlanta United FC have recorded three draws in their last five outings which shows they often struggle to turn dominant positions into actual wins.
  • Toronto FC managed to win one of their recent fixtures which proves they can occasionally pull off a surprise result when least expected.
The bottom line

We back Atlanta United FC for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceBet365
ATL2.10draw4.10TOR2.75
SourceDraftKingsATL +115
ATL2.15draw3.85TOR2.80

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

ATLAtlanta United FC9 games on record
Won4
Drawn3
Lost2
  • Scored13and let in12
  • At home2 winsfrom5
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDWDLD
TORToronto FC9 games on record
Won3
Drawn3
Lost3
  • Scored15and let in19
  • On the road1 winsfrom4
  • Right now3 losss in a row
Last fiveLLLWD

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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