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Betting tips › MLS ›  Atlanta United FC v Chicago Fire FC

 MLSSat 24 Oct 23:30 UTCMercedes-Benz Stadium

Atlanta United FC v Chicago Fire FC tips

ATLAtlanta United FCDWDLD
VS
CHIChicago Fire FCWLLDD
The model callChicago Fire FCMatch result2.40★★★★1 star

Chicago comes in at two point four to win despite mixed form because Atlanta has found it very hard to turn draws into victories lately. Both sides look too similar on recent results to feel truly confident about any single outcome here.

Stake1 unit
That is$10
Returns$24
Profit$14
Why it might land
  • Chicago is priced at two point four to win this match on the road at Mercedes Benz Stadium.
  • Atlanta has picked up three draws alongside one win and one loss across their last five fixtures.
  • Chicago managed to secure a victory recently even though they also suffered two defeats in that same span.
Why it might not
  • Chicago only has one win in their last five outings and drew their most recent two matches in a row.
  • Atlanta has been very difficult to beat outright lately as shown by their run of three draws in five games.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Neither defense has looked particularly secure across their recent runs of form so both teams might find the net.

Total goalsUnder 3.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Both teams have been involved in plenty of tight low scoring matches lately making the under three point five an interesting look.

Opens the books licensed in United States
!

This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Chicago Fire FC the side to beat here at 39%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Chicago Fire FC, and it backs that with a 1 unit stake. Chicago comes in at two point four to win despite mixed form because Atlanta has found it very hard to turn draws into victories lately. Both sides look too similar on recent results to feel truly confident about any single outcome here.

Form and momentum

Atlanta United FC come in patchy, winning 44% of 9 on record. 2 of their 5 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

Chicago Fire FC come in patchy, winning 33% of 9 on record. 2 of their 6 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 36% for ATL, 25% for the draw and 39% for CHI once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.40, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Chicago only has one win in their last five outings and drew their most recent two matches in a row.
  • Atlanta has been very difficult to beat outright lately as shown by their run of three draws in five games.
The bottom line

We back Chicago Fire FC for 1 unit. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsCHI +140
ATL2.55draw3.70CHI2.40

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

ATLAtlanta United FC9 games on record
Won4
Drawn3
Lost2
  • Scored13and let in12
  • At home2 winsfrom5
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDWDLD
CHIChicago Fire FC9 games on record
Won3
Drawn4
Lost2
  • Scored14and let in15
  • On the road2 winsfrom6
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLLDD

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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