Betting tips › MLB › Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves
MLBWed 30 Sept 18:00 UTCTruist ParkFinished
Philadelphia PhilliesLWLLL
Atlanta BravesWLWLLWe expect both teams to cross the plate often at Truist Park given their erratic defensive recent results. The betting price of 1.86 for the over line of seven runs offers enough value to get involved.
This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work
Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.
The market makes Philadelphia Phillies the side to beat here at 51%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Over 7, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. We expect both teams to cross the plate often at Truist Park given their erratic defensive recent results. The betting price of 1.86 for the over line of seven runs offers enough value to get involved.
Atlanta Braves come in solid, winning 55% of 29 on record. 8 of their 14 home games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.
Philadelphia Phillies come in solid, winning 48% of 29 on record. 9 of their 16 away games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.
The prices turn into 49% for ATL and 51% for PHI once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 1.86, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.
Across 6 past meetings ATL hold the edge with 4 wins to 2. Old results carry less weight than they look, but the pattern is worth a glance.
We back Over 7 for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.
Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.
Atlanta Braves29 games on recordPhiladelphia Phillies29 games on recordCounted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.
Old meetings are worth less than they look. Squads change, managers change, and a result from two seasons ago tells you almost nothing about this one.
The site model calls the over at one point eight six because both defenses look shaky at Truist Park. Philadelphia did win one of their last five games though and can still shut teams down. What are y...