Log in
MyBookie
Skybook

Betting tips › Brasileirao ›  Atlético-MG v Red Bull Bragantino

 BrasileiraoSat 3 Oct 21:30 UTCArena MRV

Atlético-MG v Red Bull Bragantino tips

CAMAtlético-MGDWLWD
VS
BRARed Bull BragantinoLDLLW
The model callAtlético-MGMatch result2.05★★★★2 stars

Atletico MG are the more reliable side here against a struggling Bragantino. The price of 2.05 looks like a fair bet for a home win at Arena MRV.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$41
Profit$21
Why it might land
  • Atletico MG have avoided defeat in four of their last five matches including two wins that show they are finding some consistency in their league campaign lately.
  • Red Bull Bragantino arrive in poor form after losing three of their last five matches which makes them look vulnerable against a strong side like the hosts.
  • The odds of 2.05 on the home win offer decent value given that the visitors have only managed one victory in their most recent five league outings.
Why it might not
  • Atletico MG have been inconsistent lately with two draws in their last five matches which suggests they might struggle to kill off a stubborn visiting side today.
  • The visitors managed a win in their latest game so they might arrive at Arena MRV with enough momentum to frustrate the home team and earn points.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreNoPrice varies by book

Bragantino have struggled to find the net consistently in their recent run of form so they could easily be shut out by the home defense.

Total goalsUnder 2.5 goalsPrice 1.80

Both teams have shown enough defensive caution in their recent matches to keep the total goals count below the line of 2.5.

Opens the books licensed in United States
!

This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Atlético-MG the side to beat here at 45%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Atlético-MG, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Atletico MG are the more reliable side here against a struggling Bragantino. The price of 2.05 looks like a fair bet for a home win at Arena MRV.

Form and momentum

Atlético-MG come in patchy, winning 43% of 7 on record. 3 of their 4 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

Red Bull Bragantino come in poor, winning 14% of 7 on record. 0 of their 4 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 45% for CAM, 28% for the draw and 28% for BRA once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Atlético-MG, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 2.05, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Atletico MG have been inconsistent lately with two draws in their last five matches which suggests they might struggle to kill off a stubborn visiting side today.
  • The visitors managed a win in their latest game so they might arrive at Arena MRV with enough momentum to frustrate the home team and earn points.
The bottom line

We back Atlético-MG for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsCAM +105
CAM2.05draw3.35BRA3.35

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

CAMAtlético-MG7 games on record
Won3
Drawn3
Lost1
  • Scored11and let in7
  • At home3 winsfrom4
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDWLWD
BRARed Bull Bragantino7 games on record
Won1
Drawn2
Lost4
  • Scored7and let in11
  • On the road0 winsfrom4
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLDLLW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Are we backing Atletico MG at home?

The site model fancies Atletico MG at 2.05 to beat Bragantino today. They look the more reliable side at Arena MRV against struggling visitors. But two draws in their last five matches show they can b...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
MyBookie · 18+ T&Cs applyUp to $1000 welcome bonusBET NOW