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Betting tips › Champions League ›  Atlético Madrid v Bayern Munich

 Champions LeagueTue 3 Nov 20:00 UTCRiyadh Air Metropolitano

Atlético Madrid v Bayern Munich tips

ATMAtlético MadridWWWLL
VS
MUNBayern MunichWWWDW
The model callBayern MunichMatch result2.30★★★★2 stars

Bayern Munich travel to Spain with strong momentum behind them and hold the edge in the betting at two point three zero. Atletico Madrid arrive after losing consecutive matches and face a tough test at the Riyadh Air Metropolitano.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$46
Profit$26
Why it might land
  • Bayern Munich arrive in strong form after taking four wins and one draw from their last five recent matches in all competitions.
  • The bookmakers price Bayern Munich as the favourites to win this fixture at two point three zero in the decimal market.
  • Atletico Madrid come into this fixture having suffered two defeats in their last five outings which suggests vulnerability at the back.
Why it might not
  • Atletico Madrid won three matches in a row prior to their recent defeats and play this fixture at their home ground.
  • Atletico Madrid are priced at two point eight zero which offers decent value for punters who fancy an upset in Spain.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both teams have shown enough recent scoring form to suggest each side will find the net.

Total goalsOver 3.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Both sides possess plenty of attacking talent despite the three point five goal line being unpriced.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Bayern Munich the side to beat here at 42%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Bayern Munich, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Bayern Munich travel to Spain with strong momentum behind them and hold the edge in the betting at two point three zero. Atletico Madrid arrive after losing consecutive matches and face a tough test at the Riyadh Air Metropolitano.

Form and momentum

Atlético Madrid come in solid, winning 50% of 40 on record. 13 of their 20 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 3 wins in a row.

Bayern Munich come in strong, winning 75% of 40 on record. 14 of their 20 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 3 wins in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 34% for ATM, 24% for the draw and 42% for MUN once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.30, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Atletico Madrid won three matches in a row prior to their recent defeats and play this fixture at their home ground.
  • Atletico Madrid are priced at two point eight zero which offers decent value for punters who fancy an upset in Spain.
The bottom line

We back Bayern Munich for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceBet365
ATM2.88draw4.33MUN2.05
SourceDraftKingsMUN +130
ATM2.80draw3.95MUN2.30

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

ATMAtlético Madrid40 games on record
Won20
Drawn6
Lost14
  • Scored71and let in54
  • At home13 winsfrom20
  • Right now3 wins in a row
Last fiveWWWLL
MUNBayern Munich40 games on record
Won30
Drawn7
Lost3
  • Scored137and let in51
  • On the road14 winsfrom20
  • Right now3 wins in a row
Last fiveWWWDW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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