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Betting tips › Categoria Primera A ›  Atlético Junior v Águilas Doradas

 Categoria Primera ASat 24 Oct 01:10 UTCRomelio Martínez

Atlético Junior v Águilas Doradas tips

JUNAtlético JuniorWWLDD
VS
AGDÁguilas DoradasLLDLD
The model callAtlético JuniorMatch result1.74★★★★2 stars

Junior are playing at home against a struggling side and the price of 1.74 looks fair. Aguilas Doradas are on a poor run and will struggle to keep them quiet.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$34.8
Profit$14.8
Why it might land
  • Atletico Junior come into this match after picking up two wins from their last five fixtures in the league.
  • Aguilas Doradas have really struggled for form lately with three losses and two draws in their last five matches.
  • The bookmakers offer a price of 1.74 for Atletico Junior to win which gives us a decent return for a home victory.
Why it might not
  • Atletico Junior have been too inconsistent recently as shown by their two draws and one loss in the same five games.
  • Aguilas Doradas managed to grind out two draws in their last five matches so they can sometimes make things difficult.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreNoPrice varies by book

Given the poor recent scoring form of the away team a clean sheet for the hosts is very possible.

Total goalsUnder 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Neither side has been prolific enough lately to suggest a high scoring match.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Atlético Junior the side to beat here at 52%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Atlético Junior, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Junior are playing at home against a struggling side and the price of 1.74 looks fair. Aguilas Doradas are on a poor run and will struggle to keep them quiet.

Form and momentum

Atlético Junior come in poor, winning 29% of 7 on record. 1 of their 4 home games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 2 wins in a row.

Águilas Doradas come in poor, winning 0% of 8 on record. 0 of their 4 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 2 losss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 52% for JUN, 26% for the draw and 22% for AGD once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Atlético Junior, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.74, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Atletico Junior have been too inconsistent recently as shown by their two draws and one loss in the same five games.
  • Aguilas Doradas managed to grind out two draws in their last five matches so they can sometimes make things difficult.
The bottom line

We back Atlético Junior for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsJUN -135
JUN1.74draw3.45AGD4.20

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

JUNAtlético Junior7 games on record
Won2
Drawn3
Lost2
  • Scored13and let in11
  • At home1 winsfrom4
  • Right now2 wins in a row
Last fiveWWLDD
AGDÁguilas Doradas8 games on record
Won0
Drawn5
Lost3
  • Scored8and let in13
  • On the roadno winsfrom4
  • Right now2 losss in a row
Last fiveLLDLD

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Junior at home to Aguilas Doradas any good?

Junior are at home against a struggling side and the price of 1.74 looks fair because Aguilas Doradas are on a poor run. On the other hand, Atletico Junior have been too inconsistent recently with two...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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