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Betting tips › Liga 1 ›  Atlético Grau v ADT

 Liga 1Fri 23 Oct 20:15 UTCEstadio Municipal Ambrosio Maco Arroyo

Atlético Grau v ADT tips

AGRAtlético GrauLWLWW
VS
ADTADTWLLLL
The model callAtlético GrauMatch result1.69★★★★2 stars

Atletico Grau should take the points here at home. ADT are in dreadful away form and the price of 1.69 reflects the gap.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$33.8
Profit$13.8
Why it might land
  • Atletico Grau come into this fixture having won two of their last three matches while ADT have slumped badly.
  • The visitors ADT travel to Estadio Municipal Ambrosio Maco Arroyo on a miserable run of four consecutive defeats.
  • The odds of 1.69 give us a fair price on home advantage against a side that cannot buy a win right now.
Why it might not
  • Atletico Grau remain wildly inconsistent across their recent outings having lost two of their last five matches too.
  • ADT might grab something on the road if they finally rediscover the winning form they showed earlier in their sequence.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreNoPrice varies by book

Given how poor ADT look on current results it is hard to trust them to find the back of the net.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

We have no price for the goals line and neither side shows enough consistency to trust a high scoring match.

Opens the books licensed in United States
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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Atlético Grau the side to beat here at 53%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Atlético Grau, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Atletico Grau should take the points here at home. ADT are in dreadful away form and the price of 1.69 reflects the gap.

Form and momentum

Atlético Grau come in strong, winning 60% of 5 on record. 2 of their 2 home games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

ADT come in poor, winning 20% of 5 on record. 0 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 53% for AGR, 25% for the draw and 21% for ADT once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Atlético Grau, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.69, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Atletico Grau remain wildly inconsistent across their recent outings having lost two of their last five matches too.
  • ADT might grab something on the road if they finally rediscover the winning form they showed earlier in their sequence.
The bottom line

We back Atlético Grau for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsAGR -145
AGR1.69draw3.60ADT4.20

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

AGRAtlético Grau5 games on record
Won3
Drawn0
Lost2
  • Scored10and let in9
  • At home2 winsfrom2
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLWLWW
ADTADT5 games on record
Won1
Drawn0
Lost4
  • Scored4and let in14
  • On the road0 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLLLL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Grau at home to ADT. Worth the price?

The site model goes with Atletico Grau to take the points because ADT have dreadful away form. Grau are hard to trust though. They lost two of their last five matches and remain wildly inconsistent. W...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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