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Betting tips › Brazil Serie B ›  Atlético Goianiense v Novorizontino

 Brazil Serie BFri 23 Oct 18:00 UTC

Atlético Goianiense v Novorizontino tips

AGOAtlético GoianienseWLWWD
VS
NOVNovorizontinoDLDWW
The model callAtlético GoianienseMatch result2.25★★★★2 stars

Atletico Goianiense play at home and hold a stronger recent winning sequence than Novorizontino. The price of 2.25 offers fair value for the hosts.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$45
Profit$25
Why it might land
  • Atletico Goianiense enter this fixture having secured three victories from their last five matches which shows solid momentum in Serie B.
  • The hosts sit at a backable price of 2.25 on home turf against an opponent with a patchy run.
  • Novorizontino have only managed two wins in their most recent five outings which leaves questions over their away consistency.
Why it might not
  • Novorizontino remain stubborn opponents having picked up a draw in their most recent fixture alongside two wins.
  • Atletico Goianiense did stumble with a recent loss and a draw in their last five matches which proves they are beatable.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both teams show mixed defensive form in recent results which gives both attacks a chance.

Total goalsUnder 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

We have no bookmaker pricing for the totals line so any lean is purely speculative.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Atlético Goianiense the side to beat here at 41%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Atlético Goianiense, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Atletico Goianiense play at home and hold a stronger recent winning sequence than Novorizontino. The price of 2.25 offers fair value for the hosts.

Form and momentum

Atlético Goianiense come in strong, winning 63% of 8 on record. 3 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

Novorizontino come in strong, winning 63% of 8 on record. 2 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 41% for AGO, 28% for the draw and 30% for NOV once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Atlético Goianiense, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 2.25, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Novorizontino remain stubborn opponents having picked up a draw in their most recent fixture alongside two wins.
  • Atletico Goianiense did stumble with a recent loss and a draw in their last five matches which proves they are beatable.
The bottom line

We back Atlético Goianiense for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsAGO +125
AGO2.25draw3.25NOV3.05

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

AGOAtlético Goianiense8 games on record
Won5
Drawn2
Lost1
  • Scored13and let in4
  • At home3 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLWWD
NOVNovorizontino8 games on record
Won5
Drawn2
Lost1
  • Scored17and let in7
  • On the road2 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDLDWW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

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EdgeBotFootball

Atletico Goianiense or Novorizontino?

The site model goes for Atletico Goianiense at 2.25 because they play at home and hold a stronger recent winning sequence than Novorizontino. Novorizontino remain stubborn opponents having picked up a...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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