Betting tips › Brazil Serie B › Athletic v Sport
Brazil Serie BThu 1 Oct 23:30 UTCEstádio Joaquim Portugal
AthleticDDWLW
SportLWLWLSport has been losing far too many matches recently to trust them away from home. Athletic picked up a solid win recently but overall form remains too patchy to back a home victory.
Recent form suggests at least one of these inconsistent attacks will likely fail to find the back of the net.
This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work
Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.
The market makes Athletic the side to beat here at 35%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Under 2.5, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Sport has been losing far too many matches recently to trust them away from home. Athletic picked up a solid win recently but overall form remains too patchy to back a home victory.
Athletic come in poor, winning 25% of 8 on record. 1 of their 4 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 2 draws in a row.
Sport come in patchy, winning 38% of 8 on record. 0 of their 5 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.
The prices turn into 35% for ACMG, 30% for the draw and 35% for SPO once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 1.63, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.
We back Under 2.5 for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.
Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.
Athletic8 games on recordSport8 games on recordCounted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.
The site model calls this a draw because Sport keep losing away and Athletic look far too patchy to back for a home win. The worry is that Athletic just lost a home game, proving they can leak goals a...