Log in
MyBookie
Skybook

Betting tips › Premier League ›  Aston Villa v Nottingham Forest

 Premier LeagueSat 12 Sept 14:00 UTCVilla ParkFinished

Aston Villa v Nottingham Forest tips

AVLAston VillaWDLLW
1 : 2
NFONottingham ForestDDLLD
The model callAston VillaMatch result2.00★★★★2 starsLost

Aston Villa have picked up some decent form lately. Nottingham Forest keep drawing or losing their matches.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$40
Profit$20
Why it might land
  • Villa won two of their last five matches.
  • Forest have failed to win recently.
  • The home price looks fair at evens.
Why it might not
  • Villa lost two matches in that recent run.
  • Forest are hard to beat when they draw.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by bookWon

Forest need to grab a result after recent draws and losses so they will push forward.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice 1.91Won

Villa have picked up some winning momentum lately and this price looks decent for goals.

Opens the books licensed in United States
!

This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Aston Villa the side to beat here at 42%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Aston Villa, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Aston Villa have picked up some decent form lately. Nottingham Forest keep drawing or losing their matches.

Form and momentum

Aston Villa come in solid, winning 50% of 40 on record. 12 of their 19 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

Nottingham Forest come in poor, winning 25% of 40 on record. 7 of their 19 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 2 draws in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 42% for AVL, 28% for the draw and 31% for NFO once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Aston Villa, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 2.00, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

When these two meet

Across 2 past meetings AVL hold the edge with 1 wins to 0, with 1 drawn. Old results carry less weight than they look, but the pattern is worth a glance.

Where it could go wrong
  • Villa lost two matches in that recent run.
  • Forest are hard to beat when they draw.
The bottom line

We back Aston Villa for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceBet365
AVL2.20draw3.40NFO3.25
SourceDraftKingsAVL +130
AVL2.30draw3.45NFO3.10

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

AVLAston Villa40 games on record
Won20
Drawn8
Lost12
  • Scored59and let in55
  • At home12 winsfrom19
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWDLLW
NFONottingham Forest40 games on record
Won10
Drawn12
Lost18
  • Scored46and let in54
  • On the road7 winsfrom19
  • Right now2 draws in a row
Last fiveDDLLD

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

Head to head

When these two have met

1AVL wins
1drawn
0NFO wins
  • Nottingham Forest 1 : 1 Aston Villa12 Apr 2026 · Premier League
  • Aston Villa 3 : 1 Nottingham Forest3 Jan 2026 · Premier League

Old meetings are worth less than they look. Squads change, managers change, and a result from two seasons ago tells you almost nothing about this one.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Villa vs Forest any value at 2.30?

Villa have picked up some decent form lately while Forest keep drawing or losing their matches. The site model calls Villa here. They did lose two matches in that recent run though. What are you lot o...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
MyBookie · 18+ T&Cs applyUp to $1000 welcome bonusBET NOW