Betting tips › Premier League › Aston Villa v Brentford
Premier LeagueSat 10 Oct 14:00 UTCVilla Park
Aston VillaWWLWD
BrentfordWWDDDGoals usually arrive when these two meet at Villa park and the price of one point six five on over two point five goals looks worth taking.
Both teams have enough recent momentum to find the back of the net during the ninety minutes.
This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work
Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.
The market makes Brentford the side to beat here at 37%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Over 2.5, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Goals usually arrive when these two meet at Villa park and the price of one point six five on over two point five goals looks worth taking.
Aston Villa come in solid, winning 55% of 40 on record. 12 of their 19 home games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 2 wins in a row.
Brentford come in patchy, winning 43% of 40 on record. 8 of their 20 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 2 wins in a row.
The prices turn into 36% for AVL, 27% for the draw and 37% for BRE once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 1.65, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.
Across 2 past meetings BRE have had the better of it, 2 wins to 0, with 0 drawn. Squads change, so read it as colour rather than proof.
We back Over 2.5 for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.
Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.
Aston Villa40 games on recordBrentford40 games on recordCounted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.
Old meetings are worth less than they look. Squads change, managers change, and a result from two seasons ago tells you almost nothing about this one.
The site model has this down as a draw with over two point five goals at one point six five. Brentford have been grinding out draws lately so this might be a lot tighter than the stats suggest. What a...