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Betting tips › Serie B ›  Ascoli v Empoli

 Serie BSat 17 Oct 13:00 UTCStadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca

Ascoli v Empoli tips

ASCAscoliWLWDW
VS
EMPEmpoliLLWLW
The model callAscoliMatch result1.83★★★★2 stars

Ascoli are in decent nick at home and Empoli keep dropping matches on the road. The prices look fair enough for a home win.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$36.6
Profit$16.6
Why it might land
  • Ascoli come into this fixture with three wins and a draw from their last five matches which shows solid momentum.
  • Empoli have suffered three defeats in their last five outings and struggle to string positive results together.
  • The bookmakers offer a price of 1.83 for Ascoli to win which gives us a decent return on the home side.
Why it might not
  • Ascoli did suffer a heavy loss recently against one of the weaker sides which proves they can slip up unexpectedly.
  • Empoli managed a win in their most recent five matches so they are still capable of causing an upset here.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both sides show mixed defensive records across their recent results which suggests goals at both ends.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Both teams have been involved in some high scoring games lately but the bookies left the line unpriced.

Opens the books licensed in United States
!

This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Ascoli the side to beat here at 51%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Ascoli, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Ascoli are in decent nick at home and Empoli keep dropping matches on the road. The prices look fair enough for a home win.

Form and momentum

Ascoli come in strong, winning 60% of 5 on record. 2 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side built on a tight back line. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

Empoli come in patchy, winning 40% of 5 on record. 1 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 2 losss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 51% for ASC, 26% for the draw and 23% for EMP once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Ascoli, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.83, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Ascoli did suffer a heavy loss recently against one of the weaker sides which proves they can slip up unexpectedly.
  • Empoli managed a win in their most recent five matches so they are still capable of causing an upset here.
The bottom line

We back Ascoli for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsASC -120
ASC1.83draw3.55EMP4.10

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

ASCAscoli5 games on record
Won3
Drawn1
Lost1
  • Scored7and let in4
  • At home2 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLWDW
EMPEmpoli5 games on record
Won2
Drawn0
Lost3
  • Scored4and let in6
  • On the road1 winsfrom3
  • Right now2 losss in a row
Last fiveLLWLW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Ascoli vs Empoli, home win or avoid?

The site model has Ascoli to win this one because their home form is decent and Empoli keep struggling on the road. The catch is that Ascoli got heavily beaten by a weak side recently so they can slip...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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