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Betting tips › Conference League ›  AS Monaco v SC Freiburg

 Conference LeagueThu 22 Oct 19:00 UTCStade Louis II

AS Monaco v SC Freiburg tips

MONAS MonacoWDWWW
VS
SCFSC FreiburgDWWWW
The model callAS MonacoMatch result2.30★★★★2 stars

Monaco look strong at home with a solid run of recent victories behind them. Freiburg arrive in good form too so this match should be a close contest at Stade Louis II.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$46
Profit$26
Why it might land
  • AS Monaco come into this fixture playing very well after securing four wins from their last five matches in all competitions.
  • The price of 2.30 on AS Monaco to win at home offers a fair value considering their strong recent winning momentum.
  • Playing at the Stade Louis II gives AS Monaco a real boost as they look to extend their impressive streak of results.
Why it might not
  • SC Freiburg travel to France with their own excellent momentum after putting together a four match winning run recently.
  • SC Freiburg also showed they are tough to beat by earning a draw in their most recent fixture before this trip.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both sides boast strong scoring form in their last five outings which points towards goals at both ends.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Both teams enter this fixture scoring freely in their recent games so goals could arrive.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes AS Monaco the side to beat here at 42%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on AS Monaco, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Monaco look strong at home with a solid run of recent victories behind them. Freiburg arrive in good form too so this match should be a close contest at Stade Louis II.

Form and momentum

AS Monaco come in solid, winning 45% of 40 on record. 10 of their 19 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

SC Freiburg come in patchy, winning 42% of 38 on record. 5 of their 19 away games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 42% for MON, 27% for the draw and 32% for SCF once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.30, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • SC Freiburg travel to France with their own excellent momentum after putting together a four match winning run recently.
  • SC Freiburg also showed they are tough to beat by earning a draw in their most recent fixture before this trip.
The bottom line

We back AS Monaco for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsMON +130
MON2.30draw3.60SCF3.05

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

MONAS Monaco40 games on record
Won18
Drawn10
Lost12
  • Scored61and let in58
  • At home10 winsfrom19
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWDWWW
SCFSC Freiburg38 games on record
Won16
Drawn9
Lost13
  • Scored63and let in60
  • On the road5 winsfrom19
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDWWWW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Monaco or Freiburg tonight?

The site model goes for Monaco because they look strong at home with a solid run of recent victories behind them. Freiburg arrive in good form too so this match should be a close contest at Stade Loui...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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