Betting tips › Ligue 1 › AS Monaco v Lens
Ligue 1Fri 18 Sept 18:45 UTCStade Louis IIFinished
AS MonacoDWWWL
LensDWLLWMonaco are at home at the Stade Louis II and carry a stronger winning run into this fixture than Lens. The visitors arrive after losing their last two matches which makes the home win price look fair.
Both sides have shown mixed recent defensive form which suggests each team could find the net during the ninety minutes.
The total goals line of 3.5 has an over price of 2.25 which tempts a look given both teams erratic defensive runs.
This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work
Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.
The market makes AS Monaco the side to beat here at 44%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on AS Monaco, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Monaco are at home at the Stade Louis II and carry a stronger winning run into this fixture than Lens. The visitors arrive after losing their last two matches which makes the home win price look fair.
AS Monaco come in patchy, winning 43% of 40 on record. 9 of their 19 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.
Lens come in strong, winning 62% of 39 on record. 9 of their 20 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.
The prices turn into 44% for MON, 26% for the draw and 30% for RCL once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward AS Monaco, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 2.25, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.
These two have been level across 2 past meetings, 1 wins each and 0 drawn. Nothing in the history separates them.
We back AS Monaco for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.
Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.
AS Monaco40 games on recordLens39 games on recordCounted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.
Old meetings are worth less than they look. Squads change, managers change, and a result from two seasons ago tells you almost nothing about this one.
The site model goes for Monaco at home with their better winning run and Lens losing their last two. But Monaco lost two of their last five so they clearly have flaws. What are you lot backing on this...