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Betting tips › Liga Profesional ›  Argentinos Juniors v Independiente Rivadavia

 Liga ProfesionalSun 25 Oct 18:00 UTCDiego Armando Maradona

Argentinos Juniors v Independiente Rivadavia tips

ARGJArgentinos JuniorsLDDWD
VS
RIVIndependiente RivadaviaWWLWD
The model callIndependiente RivadaviaMatch result3.60★★★★1 star

Independiente Rivadavia arrives with stronger recent form than the hosts and the price of 3.60 tempts a small flutter. Argentinos Juniors keeps drawing too many matches to trust as even money favourites.

Stake1 unit
That is$10
Returns$36
Profit$26
Why it might land
  • Independiente Rivadavia brings solid winning momentum into this fixture after taking three victories from their last five league outings.
  • Argentinos Juniors has struggled to turn possession into wins recently because they have recorded three draws and one loss in their past five matches.
  • The generous price of 3.60 on the away win offers plenty of value given the contrasting recent form lines of both clubs.
Why it might not
  • Argentinos Juniors plays this fixture at home on their own turf where they will be desperate to improve upon a shaky run of results.
  • Independiente Rivadavia suffered a recent defeat during their last five matches which proves they are far from invincible on the road.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreNoPrice varies by book

Both teams have had enough tight and low scoring games recently that one side might well keep a clean sheet here.

Total goalsUnder 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Neither side has shown enough consistent scoring power in their recent matches to suggest three goals will go in.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Argentinos Juniors the side to beat here at 45%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Independiente Rivadavia, and it backs that with a 1 unit stake. Independiente Rivadavia arrives with stronger recent form than the hosts and the price of 3.60 tempts a small flutter. Argentinos Juniors keeps drawing too many matches to trust as even money favourites.

Form and momentum

Argentinos Juniors come in poor, winning 29% of 7 on record. 2 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

Independiente Rivadavia come in solid, winning 50% of 6 on record. 1 of their 4 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 2 wins in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 45% for ARGJ, 29% for the draw and 26% for RIV once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Argentinos Juniors, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 3.60, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Argentinos Juniors plays this fixture at home on their own turf where they will be desperate to improve upon a shaky run of results.
  • Independiente Rivadavia suffered a recent defeat during their last five matches which proves they are far from invincible on the road.
The bottom line

We back Independiente Rivadavia for 1 unit. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsARGJ +105
ARGJ2.05draw3.15RIV3.60

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

ARGJArgentinos Juniors7 games on record
Won2
Drawn3
Lost2
  • Scored6and let in7
  • At home2 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLDDWD
RIVIndependiente Rivadavia6 games on record
Won3
Drawn1
Lost2
  • Scored9and let in9
  • On the road1 winsfrom4
  • Right now2 wins in a row
Last fiveWWLWD

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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