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Betting tips › Serie B ›  Arezzo v Cremonese

 Serie BSat 10 Oct 17:30 UTCStadio Città di Arezzo

Arezzo v Cremonese tips

AREArezzoLWLLW
VS
CRECremoneseDDWWL
The model callUnder 2.5Total goals1.67★★★★2 stars

This match looks tight and cagey on recent form. Backing under two point five goals at one point six seven feels like the sensible play.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$33.4
Profit$13.4
Why it might land
  • Arezzo come into this match after losing three of their last five matches which shows their attack struggles to create enough clear chances.
  • Cremonese managed two straight draws recently before the latest defeat indicating they can keep things very tight at the back away from home.
  • The available price of one point six seven for under two point five goals offers solid value given both sides lack consistent scoring power.
Why it might not
  • Cremonese did manage two consecutive wins just before their recent draw and loss which proves they can occasionally find multiple goals.
  • Arezzo recently secured two wins in their last five outings showing they are capable of surprising opponents when they find their rhythm.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreNoPrice varies by book

Given Arezzo have lost three of their last five matches without finding the net reliably, a clean sheet for one side is quite likely.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Cremonese the side to beat here at 39%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Under 2.5, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. This match looks tight and cagey on recent form. Backing under two point five goals at one point six seven feels like the sensible play.

Form and momentum

Arezzo come in patchy, winning 40% of 5 on record. 0 of their 2 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

Cremonese come in poor, winning 20% of 40 on record. 5 of their 20 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 2 draws in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 32% for ARE, 29% for the draw and 39% for CRE once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 1.67, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Cremonese did manage two consecutive wins just before their recent draw and loss which proves they can occasionally find multiple goals.
  • Arezzo recently secured two wins in their last five outings showing they are capable of surprising opponents when they find their rhythm.
The bottom line

We back Under 2.5 for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsCRE +140
ARE2.90draw3.15CRE2.40

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

AREArezzo5 games on record
Won2
Drawn0
Lost3
  • Scored6and let in13
  • At home0 winsfrom2
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLWLLW
CRECremonese40 games on record
Won8
Drawn10
Lost22
  • Scored34and let in61
  • On the road5 winsfrom20
  • Right now2 draws in a row
Last fiveDDWWL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Arezzo vs Cremonese tight game?

The site model says back under two point five goals at one point six seven because recent form suggests a tight match. Cremonese did grab two wins before their recent slump though so they can score. W...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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