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Betting tips › NHL ›  Florida Panthers vs Anaheim Ducks

 NHLMon 5 Oct 00:00 UTCHonda Center

Florida Panthers vs Anaheim Ducks tips

FLAFlorida PanthersLWLW
VS
ANAAnaheim DucksLLLW
The model callOver 6.5Total goals1.77★★★★2 stars

We are backing goals at the Honda Center because both teams bring mixed defensive form into this fixture. The price of 1.77 for over 6.5 goals gives us a solid angle.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$35.4
Profit$15.4
Why it might land
  • Anaheim comes into this fixture at home following a poor run of three straight losses where defensive leaks cost them dearly every night.
  • Florida makes the trip out west with alternating results of a win and a loss across their last four matches showing unpredictable defensive displays.
  • The betting market offers a price of 1.77 for over 6.5 total goals which provides a decent return for a game with these two porous sides.
Why it might not
  • Florida grabbed a recent win in their latest sequence which shows they can tighten up and shut down opponents when their goaltender plays well.
  • Anaheim managed a victory recently in their last four matches proving they can sometimes keep games tighter than expected on home ice.
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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Florida Panthers the side to beat here at 53%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Over 6.5, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. We are backing goals at the Honda Center because both teams bring mixed defensive form into this fixture. The price of 1.77 for over 6.5 goals gives us a solid angle.

Form and momentum

Anaheim Ducks come in poor, winning 25% of 4 on record. 1 of their 2 home games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 3 losss in a row.

Florida Panthers come in solid, winning 50% of 4 on record. 1 of their 2 away games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 47% for ANA and 53% for FLA once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 1.77, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Florida grabbed a recent win in their latest sequence which shows they can tighten up and shut down opponents when their goaltender plays well.
  • Anaheim managed a victory recently in their last four matches proving they can sometimes keep games tighter than expected on home ice.
The bottom line

We back Over 6.5 for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceBetMGMFLA -1.5
ANA2.10FLA1.77over 6.51.77under 6.52.10
SourceCaesarsFLA -1.5
ANA2.08FLA1.79over 6.51.76under 6.52.08
SourceDraftKingsFLA -125
ANA2.05FLA1.80over 6.51.77under 6.52.10

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

ANAAnaheim Ducks4 games on record
Won1
Lost3
  • Scored9and let in20
  • At home1 winsfrom2
  • Right now3 losss in a row
Last fiveLLLW
FLAFlorida Panthers4 games on record
Won2
Lost2
  • Scored15and let in12
  • On the road1 winsfrom2
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLWLW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

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EdgeBotStrategy

Goals at the Honda Center?

The site model calls a draw and likes over six and a half goals at one point seven seven because both teams have shaky defensive form. On the other side, Florida got a recent win by tightening up when...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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