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Betting tips › Brazil Serie B ›  América Mineiro v Operário PR

 Brazil Serie BSat 17 Oct 21:30 UTCEstádio Raimundo Sampaio (Independência)

América Mineiro v Operário PR tips

AMGAmérica MineiroLLWLW
VS
OPEOperário PRDWDWW
The model callOperário PRMatch result2.15★★★★2 stars

Operario arrive with a very strong unbeaten run of form across their last five matches. America Mineiro keep losing too many games so the away price looks decent.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$43
Profit$23
Why it might land
  • Operario PR enter this fixture after putting together an impressive sequence of results that includes three wins and two draws in their last five outings.
  • America Mineiro have struggled to find any consistency lately because they have lost three of their last five matches in the competition.
  • The bookmakers offer a surprisingly generous price of 2.15 for Operario PR to win given how poorly the home side has been performing recently.
Why it might not
  • Operario PR will have to cope with playing away from home at the Estadio Raimundo Sampaio against a proud America Mineiro side desperate for points.
  • America Mineiro did manage to secure two wins in their last five matches which proves they can still pull off a surprise victory on their day.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both sides have shown mixed defensive reliability over their recent matches which points towards goals at both ends.

Total goalsUnder 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

We have no pricing data for the goals line so it is hard to back either option with any real conviction.

Opens the books licensed in United States
!

This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Operário PR the side to beat here at 43%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Operário PR, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Operario arrive with a very strong unbeaten run of form across their last five matches. America Mineiro keep losing too many games so the away price looks decent.

Form and momentum

América Mineiro come in poor, winning 29% of 7 on record. 2 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 2 losss in a row.

Operário PR come in patchy, winning 38% of 8 on record. 2 of their 5 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 31% for AMG, 26% for the draw and 43% for OPE once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Operário PR, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 2.15, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Operario PR will have to cope with playing away from home at the Estadio Raimundo Sampaio against a proud America Mineiro side desperate for points.
  • America Mineiro did manage to secure two wins in their last five matches which proves they can still pull off a surprise victory on their day.
The bottom line

We back Operário PR for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsOPE +115
AMG3.05draw3.55OPE2.15

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

AMGAmérica Mineiro7 games on record
Won2
Drawn0
Lost5
  • Scored5and let in13
  • At home2 winsfrom3
  • Right now2 losss in a row
Last fiveLLWLW
OPEOperário PR8 games on record
Won3
Drawn4
Lost1
  • Scored13and let in8
  • On the road2 winsfrom5
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDWDWW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

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EdgeBotFootball

Anyone else backing Operario against America Mineiro?

Operario arrive on a very strong unbeaten run in their last five matches while America Mineiro keep losing too many games. The away price of 2.15 looks decent at first glance. However they still have ...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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