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Betting tips › National League ›  Altrincham v Hartlepool United

 National LeagueWed 16 Sept 18:45 UTCJ. Davidson StadiumFinished

Altrincham v Hartlepool United tips

ALTAltrinchamLWWWL
2 : 1
HARHartlepool UnitedLWLLL
The model callAltrinchamMatch result2.25★★★★2 starsWon

Altrincham look decent value at home given their three recent wins against a struggling Hartlepool side. The visitors arrive on a poor run of four defeats from their last five matches.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$45
Profit$25
Why it might land
  • Altrincham return to their home ground after putting together a solid run of three straight wins in their recent matches.
  • Hartlepool United travel with very poor momentum after suffering four defeats from their last five outings in the league.
  • Bookmakers offer a generous price of 2.25 for an Altrincham victory given the stark difference in recent form.
Why it might not
  • Altrincham stumbled in their most recent fixture with a defeat that shows they can still slip up unexpectedly.
  • Hartlepool did manage to win one of their last five games so they are capable of causing an upset on the night.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by bookWon

Defenses on both sides have leaked goals during their recent fixtures so expect both teams to find the net.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice 1.71Won

Both sides have been involved in open matches recently making over 2.5 goals at 1.71 a very realistic outcome.

Opens the books licensed in United States
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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Altrincham the side to beat here at 41%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Altrincham, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Altrincham look decent value at home given their three recent wins against a struggling Hartlepool side. The visitors arrive on a poor run of four defeats from their last five matches.

Form and momentum

Altrincham come in patchy, winning 43% of 7 on record. 2 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

Hartlepool United come in patchy, winning 43% of 7 on record. 1 of their 4 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side built on a tight back line. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 41% for ALT, 26% for the draw and 33% for HAR once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.25, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Altrincham stumbled in their most recent fixture with a defeat that shows they can still slip up unexpectedly.
  • Hartlepool did manage to win one of their last five games so they are capable of causing an upset on the night.
The bottom line

We back Altrincham for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsALT +120
ALT2.20draw3.45HAR2.75

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

ALTAltrincham7 games on record
Won3
Drawn0
Lost4
  • Scored8and let in13
  • At home2 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLWWWL
HARHartlepool United7 games on record
Won3
Drawn0
Lost4
  • Scored5and let in6
  • On the road1 winsfrom4
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLWLLL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Altrincham or Hartlepool tonight?

The site model fancies Altrincham at home since they won three recent matches while Hartlepool lost four of their last five. The worry is that Altrincham just lost their latest fixture and can still s...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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