Betting tips › Primera Nacional › Almirante Brown v Deportivo Morón
Primera NacionalSat 24 Oct 18:00 UTCFragata Presidente SarmientoAlmirante Brown v Deportivo Morón tips
Almirante BrownLLDDW
Deportivo MorónLLWWWDeportivo Moron arrive with three straight wins behind them and look ready to test Almirante Brown. The hosts are struggling for consistency after picking up only two draws and a defeat from their last three matches.
- Deportivo Moron come into this fixture carrying a strong three match winning run in their recent results.
- Almirante Brown have failed to win three of their last five matches including two consecutive defeats.
- The bookmakers offer a tempting price of 3.30 for Deportivo Moron to take all three points on the road.
- Almirante Brown managed a win at home recently and could easily tighten up their defence for this clash.
- Deportivo Moron lost their two matches immediately preceding their current winning streak.
The recent defensive lapses from both Almirante Brown and Deportivo Moron suggest both teams could find the net.
Both sides have been involved in open matches recently making the over 1.5 goals line very achievable.
This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work
Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.
Edge Analysis
The market makes Almirante Brown the side to beat here at 37%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Deportivo Morón, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Deportivo Moron arrive with three straight wins behind them and look ready to test Almirante Brown. The hosts are struggling for consistency after picking up only two draws and a defeat from their last three matches.
Almirante Brown come in patchy, winning 33% of 6 on record. 1 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side built on a tight back line. Right now they are on 2 losss in a row.
Deportivo Morón come in patchy, winning 43% of 7 on record. 2 of their 5 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 2 losss in a row.
The prices turn into 37% for ALM, 36% for the draw and 27% for MOR once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 3.30, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.
- Almirante Brown managed a win at home recently and could easily tighten up their defence for this clash.
- Deportivo Moron lost their two matches immediately preceding their current winning streak.
We back Deportivo Morón for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.
Every price we track
Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.
Recent Performance
Almirante Brown6 games on record- Scored3and let in2
- At home1 winsfrom3
- Right now2 losss in a row
Deportivo Morón7 games on record- Scored10and let in9
- On the road2 winsfrom5
- Right now2 losss in a row
Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.