Log in
MyBookie
Skybook

Betting tips › Eerste Divisie ›  Almere City v Heracles Almelo

 Eerste DivisieFri 18 Sept 18:00 UTCYanmar StadionFinished

Almere City v Heracles Almelo tips

ALMAlmere CityWLWWW
1 : 0
HERHeracles AlmeloWWWWW
The model callHeracles AlmeloMatch result2.00★★★★2 starsLost

Heracles Almelo arrive in strong winning form across all their recent league matches and look well priced to secure another victory away from home. Almere City will pose a challenge at the Yanmar Stadion despite the visiting side holding the clear momentum.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$40
Profit$20
Why it might land
  • Heracles Almelo bring an impressive five match winning streak into this fixture which shows they know how to get the job done.
  • The bookmakers offer a very fair price of 2.00 for Heracles Almelo to win given their current run of results in the league.
  • Almere City did win four of their last five matches but they still face a massive test against such relentless visiting form.
Why it might not
  • Almere City have won four from five themselves which means they are entirely capable of causing an upset on their own turf.
  • Playing away at the Yanmar Stadion is never straightforward even for the most in form teams in the division.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by bookLost

Almere City and Heracles Almelo both show strong scoring form in their recent matches which points straight to goals at both ends.

Total goalsOver 3.5 goalsPrice 1.87Lost

Both teams enter this fixture off the back of heavy winning runs and should push the total past three goals.

Opens the books licensed in United States
!

This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Heracles Almelo the side to beat here at 47%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Heracles Almelo, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Heracles Almelo arrive in strong winning form across all their recent league matches and look well priced to secure another victory away from home. Almere City will pose a challenge at the Yanmar Stadion despite the visiting side holding the clear momentum.

Form and momentum

Almere City come in strong, winning 67% of 6 on record. 1 of their 2 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

Heracles Almelo come in poor, winning 26% of 39 on record. 3 of their 19 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 5 wins in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 30% for ALM, 23% for the draw and 47% for HER once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Heracles Almelo, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 2.00, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Almere City have won four from five themselves which means they are entirely capable of causing an upset on their own turf.
  • Playing away at the Yanmar Stadion is never straightforward even for the most in form teams in the division.
The bottom line

We back Heracles Almelo for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsHER -105
ALM3.10draw4.00HER1.95

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

ALMAlmere City6 games on record
Won4
Drawn1
Lost1
  • Scored15and let in4
  • At home1 winsfrom2
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLWWW
HERHeracles Almelo39 games on record
Won10
Drawn4
Lost25
  • Scored55and let in91
  • On the road3 winsfrom19
  • Right now5 wins in a row
Last fiveWWWWW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Almere City or Heracles?

Heracles are in great winning form and look fair at 195 on the road. Almere City have won four of their last five though so they can cause an upset here. The site model calls the away win. What are yo...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
MyBookie · 18+ T&Cs applyUp to $1000 welcome bonusBET NOW